Stock Analysis

We're Not Counting On Circle Property (LON:CRC) To Sustain Its Statutory Profitability

AIM:CRC
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. This article will consider whether Circle Property's (LON:CRC) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that Circle Property made a profit of UK£1.65m on its revenue of UK£10.00m, in the last year. While it managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, its profit has moved in the other direction, as you can see in the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Circle Property

earnings-and-revenue-history
AIM:CRC Earnings and Revenue History December 17th 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. Therefore, we think it is well worth considering the impact that unusual items and a spike in non-operating revenue have had on Circle Property's statutory profit result. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Circle Property.

The Power Of Non-Operating Revenue

Most companies divide classify their revenue as either 'operating revenue', which comes from normal operations, and other revenue, which could include government grants, for example. Where possible, we prefer rely on operating revenue to get a better understanding of how the business is functioning. However, we note that when non-operating revenue increases suddenly, it will sometimes generate an unsustainable boost to profit. Notably, Circle Property had a significant increase in non-operating revenue over the last year. Indeed, its non-operating revenue spiked from UK£7.49m last year to UK£10.00m this year. The high levels of non-operating are problematic because if (and when) they do not repeat, then overall revenue (and profitability) of the firm will fall. Sometimes, you can get a better idea of the underlying earnings potential of a company by excluding unusual boosts to non-operating revenue.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that spike in non-operating revenue, it's also important to note that Circle Property'sprofit was boosted by unusual items worth UK£793k in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Circle Property's Profit Performance

In the last year Circle Property's non-operating revenue really gave it a boost, but not in a way that is necessarily going to be sustained. Furthermore, unusual items also made a nice positive contribution to its profit, which may well drop next year (all else being equal) if these phenomena are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Circle Property's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 6 warning signs for Circle Property (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Our examination of Circle Property has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About AIM:CRC

Circle Property

Circle is amongst the best performing quoted UK real estate companies by NAV total return (NAV growth and dividend) having delivered consistent returns with 87% NAV growth since IPO in 2016 in absolute terms.

Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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