Incyte Valuation

Is 0J9P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0J9P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0J9P ($52.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($237.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0J9P is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0J9P?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0J9P key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0J9P's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0J9P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.3x
GNS Genus
35x26.0%UK£1.2b
NIOX NIOX Group
31.2x16.7%UK£296.8m
BVXP Bioventix
26.8x5.2%UK£232.3m
HIK Hikma Pharmaceuticals
28.3x18.0%UK£4.3b
0J9P Incyte
19.7x18.8%US$11.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0J9P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the peer average (30.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0J9P's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0J9P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0J9P's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0J9P PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.7x
Fair PE Ratio35.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0J9P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0J9P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$52.72
US$75.20
+42.6%
14.3%US$91.00US$56.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$56.88
US$76.01
+33.6%
14.1%US$92.00US$58.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$59.51
US$75.82
+27.4%
13.6%US$92.00US$58.00n/a21
Feb ’25US$59.15
US$77.05
+30.3%
15.7%US$93.00US$58.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$62.51
US$77.10
+23.3%
15.6%US$93.00US$58.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$54.04
US$76.16
+40.9%
16.5%US$93.00US$58.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$53.31
US$77.91
+46.2%
16.5%US$98.00US$58.00n/a20
Oct ’24US$57.89
US$83.59
+44.4%
13.3%US$114.00US$65.00n/a19
Sep ’24US$65.17
US$83.59
+28.3%
13.3%US$114.00US$65.00n/a19
Aug ’24US$63.66
US$83.31
+30.9%
13.4%US$114.00US$65.00n/a19
Jul ’24US$62.26
US$83.11
+33.5%
14.6%US$109.00US$60.00n/a18
Jun ’24US$61.80
US$82.42
+33.4%
14.8%US$109.00US$60.00n/a19
May ’24US$73.99
US$89.10
+20.4%
15.5%US$119.00US$61.00n/a19
Apr ’24US$72.11
US$88.67
+23.0%
15.8%US$118.00US$61.00US$56.8818
Mar ’24US$77.59
US$88.89
+14.6%
15.6%US$118.00US$63.00US$59.5118
Feb ’24US$84.67
US$89.11
+5.3%
16.2%US$120.00US$63.00US$59.1518
Jan ’24US$79.57
US$88.06
+10.7%
17.2%US$123.00US$63.00US$62.5117
Dec ’23US$80.32
US$87.94
+9.5%
17.2%US$123.00US$63.00US$54.0417
Nov ’23US$77.23
US$87.65
+13.5%
16.7%US$119.00US$63.00US$53.3117
Oct ’23US$67.03
US$88.47
+32.0%
16.6%US$119.00US$63.00US$57.8917
Sep ’23US$70.36
US$88.71
+26.1%
16.4%US$119.00US$63.00US$65.1717
Aug ’23US$78.05
US$92.28
+18.2%
16.2%US$127.00US$63.00US$63.6618
Jul ’23US$77.21
US$92.31
+19.6%
16.6%US$124.00US$58.00US$62.2616
Jun ’23US$74.61
US$92.44
+23.9%
16.5%US$124.00US$58.00US$61.8016
May ’23US$75.48
US$92.07
+22.0%
17.5%US$125.00US$56.00US$73.9915
Apr ’23US$79.85
US$91.13
+14.1%
18.5%US$125.00US$56.00US$72.1115

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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