Oxford Biomedica plc

LSE:OXB Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£449.7m

Oxford Biomedica Valuation

Is OXB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OXB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OXB (£4.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£17.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OXB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OXB?

Key metric: As OXB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OXB. This is calculated by dividing OXB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OXB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.6x
SalesUK£97.28m
Market CapUK£449.71m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OXB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OXB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.9x
GNS Genus
1.5x3.7%UK£995.9m
BVXP Bioventix
12.7xn/aUK£172.2m
AVCT Avacta Group
7.8x0.4%UK£175.6m
TRX Tissue Regenix Group
1.7x15.1%UK£42.4m
OXB Oxford Biomedica
4.6x21.2%UK£449.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OXB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (5.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OXB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Biotechs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GNS Genus
1.5x3.7%US$1.25b
TRX Tissue Regenix Group
1.7x15.1%US$53.10m
VRCI Verici Dx
1.8x78.8%US$7.98m
DEST Destiny Pharma
3.5x-171.4%US$5.85m
No more companies available in this PS range
OXB 4.6xIndustry Avg. 8.2xNo. of Companies6PS01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OXB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (8.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OXB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OXB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.6x
Fair PS Ratio3.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OXB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OXB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.25
UK£5.33
+25.6%
19.8%UK£7.40UK£3.80n/a8
Dec ’25UK£4.29
UK£5.28
+23.3%
20.5%UK£7.40UK£3.80n/a8
Nov ’25UK£4.05
UK£5.17
+27.7%
23.3%UK£7.40UK£3.80n/a7
Oct ’25UK£3.82
UK£4.96
+30.1%
28.4%UK£7.40UK£3.05n/a7
Sep ’25UK£3.35
UK£4.74
+41.4%
34.7%UK£7.40UK£2.50n/a7
Aug ’25UK£3.72
UK£4.49
+20.7%
36.8%UK£7.40UK£2.50n/a8
Jul ’25UK£2.97
UK£4.49
+51.1%
36.8%UK£7.40UK£2.50n/a8
Jun ’25UK£3.31
UK£4.49
+35.6%
36.8%UK£7.40UK£2.50n/a8
May ’25UK£2.87
UK£4.18
+45.6%
45.6%UK£7.40UK£1.80n/a8
Apr ’25UK£2.01
UK£4.15
+106.7%
46.2%UK£7.40UK£1.80n/a8
Mar ’25UK£1.71
UK£4.24
+147.7%
41.7%UK£7.20UK£2.10n/a8
Feb ’25UK£1.78
UK£4.24
+137.4%
41.7%UK£7.20UK£2.10n/a8
Jan ’25UK£2.20
UK£4.24
+92.5%
41.7%UK£7.20UK£2.10n/a8
Dec ’24UK£1.68
UK£4.33
+157.5%
40.0%UK£7.20UK£2.65UK£4.297
Nov ’24UK£2.05
UK£7.14
+248.9%
93.4%UK£24.00UK£2.65UK£4.058
Oct ’24UK£3.06
UK£7.50
+145.4%
89.9%UK£24.00UK£2.65UK£3.828
Sep ’24UK£3.24
UK£9.22
+184.6%
62.9%UK£24.00UK£3.65UK£3.359
Aug ’24UK£4.50
UK£9.30
+106.7%
61.6%UK£24.00UK£3.65UK£3.729
Jul ’24UK£4.20
UK£9.29
+121.2%
61.6%UK£24.00UK£3.65UK£2.979
Jun ’24UK£4.57
UK£10.89
+138.4%
51.9%UK£24.00UK£5.25UK£3.317
May ’24UK£4.34
UK£11.48
+164.4%
52.2%UK£24.00UK£5.25UK£2.876
Apr ’24UK£4.35
UK£10.65
+145.1%
57.5%UK£24.00UK£3.60UK£2.017
Mar ’24UK£5.60
UK£10.65
+90.2%
57.5%UK£24.00UK£3.60UK£1.717
Feb ’24UK£4.23
UK£10.65
+151.8%
57.5%UK£24.00UK£3.60UK£1.787
Jan ’24UK£4.43
UK£10.65
+140.7%
57.5%UK£24.00UK£3.60UK£2.207
Dec ’23UK£4.06
UK£10.65
+162.3%
57.5%UK£24.00UK£3.60UK£1.687

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 01:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Oxford Biomedica plc is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rick BienkowskiCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Susie JanaEdison Investment Research
Jens LindqvistInvestec Bank plc (UK)