UCB Valuation

Is UCBB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UCBB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UCBB (€123.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€249.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UCBB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UCBB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UCBB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.3x
PEG Ratio2.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UCBB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UCBB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
GSK GSK
15.5x11.5%UK£69.5b
HIK Hikma Pharmaceuticals
28.2x18.0%UK£4.3b
AZN AstraZeneca
37.2x16.6%UK£188.7b
HCM HUTCHMED (China)
31.7x17.5%UK£2.6b
68.9x26.3%€23.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UCBB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.9x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UCBB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UCBB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.9x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (24.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UCBB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UCBB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio68.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UCBB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UCBB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€123.70
€125.49
+1.5%
16.3%€164.00€70.00n/a19
Apr ’25€114.45
€117.81
+2.9%
17.9%€164.00€70.00n/a19
Mar ’25n/a
€105.22
0%
19.7%€159.00€70.00n/a19
Feb ’25€86.19
€101.64
+17.9%
18.7%€159.00€70.00n/a19
Jan ’25n/a
€98.69
0%
20.3%€159.00€70.00n/a19
Dec ’24€67.44
€102.66
+52.2%
18.2%€159.00€70.00n/a20
Nov ’24n/a
€103.51
0%
18.5%€161.00€74.00n/a20
Oct ’24€77.93
€104.38
+33.9%
17.6%€161.00€74.00n/a20
Sep ’24n/a
€102.05
0%
19.1%€161.00€74.00n/a21
Aug ’24n/a
€102.02
0%
18.6%€158.24€74.00n/a21
Jul ’24€80.82
€100.75
+24.7%
20.2%€158.07€68.00n/a19
Jun ’24€80.60
€101.15
+25.5%
20.5%€157.69€68.00n/a18
May ’24€83.80
€99.00
+18.1%
18.7%€136.00€68.00€123.7017
Apr ’24€82.94
€96.38
+16.2%
21.8%€136.00€51.90€114.4518
Mar ’24€80.66
€95.94
+18.9%
20.7%€136.00€51.90n/a19
Feb ’24€74.82
€98.68
+31.9%
20.7%€136.00€51.90€86.1919
Jan ’24n/a
€100.14
0%
20.1%€139.00€51.90n/a21
Dec ’23€77.60
€99.57
+28.3%
19.3%€139.00€51.90€67.4421
Nov ’23€74.08
€100.76
+36.0%
20.8%€151.00€51.90n/a21
Oct ’23€70.60
€101.23
+43.4%
21.0%€151.00€51.90€77.9321
Sep ’23€71.69
€102.94
+43.6%
19.4%€151.00€59.70n/a21
Aug ’23n/a
€102.71
0%
18.8%€151.00€59.70n/a22
Jul ’23€81.46
€109.40
+34.3%
18.6%€151.00€59.70€80.8222
Jun ’23€83.78
€117.23
+39.9%
14.0%€151.00€90.00€80.6022
May ’23€109.90
€120.00
+9.2%
13.1%€155.00€95.00€83.8021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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