Futura Medical plc (LON:FUM) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 33% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 74% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Futura Medical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Futura Medical
How Has Futura Medical Performed Recently?
Futura Medical certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Futura Medical's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Futura Medical?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Futura Medical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been anywhere near as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 22% per annum as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 5.5% each year, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Futura Medical's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What Does Futura Medical's P/S Mean For Investors?
The southerly movements of Futura Medical's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Futura Medical's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Futura Medical (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Futura Medical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.