Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Alliance Pharma plc (LON:APH) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Alliance Pharma
How Much Debt Does Alliance Pharma Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Alliance Pharma had UK£138.3m of debt, an increase on UK£77.1m, over one year. On the flip side, it has UK£28.9m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£109.4m.
How Healthy Is Alliance Pharma's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Alliance Pharma had liabilities of UK£30.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£197.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£28.9m and UK£24.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£174.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Alliance Pharma has a market capitalization of UK£485.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Alliance Pharma's net debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 11.2 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Shareholders should be aware that Alliance Pharma's EBIT was down 21% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alliance Pharma can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Alliance Pharma generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 93% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Alliance Pharma is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Alliance Pharma's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Alliance Pharma is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About AIM:APH
Alliance Pharma
Acquires, markets, and distributes consumer healthcare products and prescription medicines in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, China, and the Americas.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.