Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hyve Group Plc (LON:HYVE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hyve Group
What Is Hyve Group's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Hyve Group had UK£121.7m of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has UK£41.7m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£80.0m.
A Look At Hyve Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hyve Group had liabilities of UK£128.0m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£136.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£41.7m and UK£35.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£187.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£305.1m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hyve Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Hyve Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to UK£55m, which is a fall of 47%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Hyve Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping UK£66m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of UK£15m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hyve Group .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:HYVE
Hyve Group
Hyve Group Plc engages in in the organization of trade exhibitions, conferences, and related activities.
Adequate balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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