Netflix Valuation

Is 0QYI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QYI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QYI ($901) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($794.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QYI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QYI?

Key metric: As 0QYI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QYI. This is calculated by dividing 0QYI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QYI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.3x
EarningsUS$7.78b
Market CapUS$383.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QYI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QYI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average56.1x
DIS Walt Disney
42.1x19.3%US$209.4b
LBG LBG Media
39x24.5%UK£278.1m
SPOT Spotify Technology
131.5x29.6%US$96.0b
CCP Celtic
11.7x-60.8%UK£156.5m
0QYI Netflix
49.3x15.9%US$383.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QYI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the peer average (56.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QYI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QYI 49.3xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QYI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QYI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QYI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.3x
Fair PE Ratio38.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QYI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QYI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$901.00
US$788.67
-12.5%
15.8%US$1,100.00US$550.00n/a41
Nov ’25US$760.00
US$760.82
+0.1%
12.2%US$925.00US$550.00n/a41
Oct ’25US$701.00
US$698.48
-0.4%
11.4%US$900.00US$500.00n/a41
Sep ’25US$692.50
US$694.24
+0.3%
11.5%US$900.00US$500.00n/a39
Aug ’25US$634.00
US$689.37
+8.7%
10.6%US$800.00US$500.00n/a39
Jul ’25US$671.00
US$649.98
-3.1%
11.5%US$800.00US$440.00n/a41
Jun ’25US$630.00
US$642.89
+2.0%
12.2%US$800.00US$440.00n/a42
May ’25US$547.50
US$640.74
+17.0%
12.2%US$800.00US$440.00n/a43
Apr ’25US$604.00
US$606.54
+0.4%
12.9%US$740.00US$425.00n/a41
Mar ’25US$610.00
US$580.55
-4.8%
12.7%US$740.00US$335.00n/a42
Feb ’25US$565.00
US$568.06
+0.5%
12.4%US$700.00US$335.00n/a42
Jan ’25US$490.50
US$471.43
-3.9%
12.4%US$600.00US$335.00n/a39
Dec ’24US$475.50
US$465.43
-2.1%
12.6%US$600.00US$335.00n/a39
Nov ’24US$416.00
US$458.59
+10.2%
12.9%US$600.00US$335.00US$760.0039
Oct ’24US$378.00
US$464.73
+22.9%
14.7%US$600.00US$325.00US$701.0037
Sep ’24US$441.00
US$458.37
+3.9%
15.3%US$600.00US$293.00US$692.5038
Aug ’24US$445.50
US$461.50
+3.6%
16.0%US$600.00US$293.00US$634.0036
Jul ’24US$440.00
US$400.32
-9.0%
18.3%US$535.00US$230.00US$671.0037
Jun ’24US$400.50
US$368.97
-7.9%
16.1%US$470.00US$215.00US$630.0036
May ’24US$328.50
US$362.35
+10.3%
15.6%US$440.00US$215.00US$547.5037
Apr ’24US$340.75
US$357.51
+4.9%
16.3%US$440.00US$215.00US$604.0037
Mar ’24US$319.20
US$357.11
+11.9%
16.4%US$440.00US$215.00US$610.0037
Feb ’24US$358.38
US$356.43
-0.5%
16.2%US$440.00US$215.00US$565.0037
Jan ’24US$287.30
US$303.25
+5.6%
17.9%US$405.00US$200.00US$490.5036
Dec ’23US$309.03
US$293.33
-5.1%
18.1%US$375.00US$162.00US$475.5036
Nov ’23US$288.48
US$286.58
-0.7%
19.3%US$375.00US$162.00US$416.0036

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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