Netflix, Inc.

BATS-CHIXE:NFCD Stock Report

Market Cap: €323.7b

Netflix Valuation

Is NFCD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of NFCD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: NFCD (€75.8) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€79.71)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: NFCD is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFCD?

Key metric: As NFCD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NFCD. This is calculated by dividing NFCD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NFCD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.1x
EarningsUS$13.37b
Market CapUS$376.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NFCD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NFCD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.2x
DIS Walt Disney
16x6.08%US$180.7b
SPOT Spotify Technology
32x12.90%US$89.1b
CCP Celtic
17.9x-64.74%UK£194.9m
LBG LBG Media
7.1x11.23%UK£75.0m
NFCD Netflix
28.1x12.02%€376.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NFCD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x) compared to the peer average (18.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NFCD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFCD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFCD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFCD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NFCD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NFCD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€75.80
€98.61
+30.09%
10.48%€130.33€68.86n/a44
May ’27n/a
€98.12
0%
10.48%€129.67€68.52n/a44
Apr ’27n/a
€97.93
0%
12.88%€130.72€69.07n/a45
Mar ’27n/a
€96.19
0%
14.10%€128.07€67.67n/a40
Feb ’27n/a
€94.31
0%
14.62%€127.66€66.61n/a40
Jan ’27n/a
€107.33
0%
15.55%€129.70€65.49n/a38
Dec ’26€90.93
€115.94
+27.51%
13.12%€137.98€66.40n/a44
Nov ’26€94.26
€116.82
+23.94%
12.96%€138.80€66.80n/a44
Oct ’26€102.84
€115.78
+12.58%
13.21%€136.35€63.92n/a41
Sep ’26€105.22
€115.98
+10.22%
13.54%€137.81€64.60n/a41
Aug ’26€100.36
€116.56
+16.14%
13.54%€138.50€64.92n/a41
Jul ’26€112.96
€100.50
-11.03%
17.84%€136.69€62.03n/a44
Jun ’26€106.02
€100.22
-5.47%
15.11%€133.35€63.42n/a46
May ’26€97.38
€96.91
-0.49%
13.05%€133.53€63.50n/a46
Apr ’26€85.61
€99.21
+15.89%
13.73%€138.02€64.67n/a42
Mar ’26€92.72
€103.34
+11.45%
13.86%€144.05€67.49n/a41
Feb ’26€95.14
€101.50
+6.68%
14.17%€142.44€66.74n/a42
Jan ’26€86.99
€80.92
-6.98%
17.59%€105.75€52.88n/a41
Dec ’25€83.55
€74.93
-10.31%
16.06%€103.95€51.98€90.9341
Nov ’25€70.75
€70.36
-0.55%
12.22%€85.54€50.86€94.2641
Oct ’25€65.46
€63.10
-3.60%
11.39%€81.31€45.17€102.8441
Sep ’25€62.30
€62.82
+0.83%
11.47%€81.43€45.24€105.2239
Aug ’25€59.07
€63.77
+7.95%
10.63%€74.00€46.25€100.3639
Jul ’25€62.76
€60.53
-3.55%
11.51%€74.50€40.98€112.9641
Jun ’25€58.63
€59.20
+0.98%
12.19%€73.67€40.52€106.0242
May ’25€52.01
€60.02
+15.41%
12.17%€74.94€41.22€97.3843
€97.24
Fair Value
22.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
44
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/22 12:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Netflix, Inc. is covered by 85 analysts. 46 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hannah KleivenArete Research Services LLP
Andrew Charles BealeArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company