Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At Frontier Developments (LON:FDEV) Aren't Ideal

AIM:FDEV
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Frontier Developments (LON:FDEV), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Frontier Developments:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.082 = UK£12m ÷ (UK£165m - UK£23m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2021).

Thus, Frontier Developments has an ROCE of 8.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Entertainment industry average of 16%.

View our latest analysis for Frontier Developments

roce
AIM:FDEV Return on Capital Employed June 14th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Frontier Developments' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Frontier Developments here for free.

What Can We Tell From Frontier Developments' ROCE Trend?

In terms of Frontier Developments' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 8.2% from 16% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

In Conclusion...

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Frontier Developments is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 160% to shareholders in the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.

One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Frontier Developments and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Frontier Developments is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.