Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Dianomi plc (LON:DNM) As Shares Slide 34%

AIM:DNM
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The Dianomi plc (LON:DNM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 34%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 72% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Dianomi's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.9x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For example, consider that Dianomi's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the benign earnings growth will improve to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Dianomi

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:DNM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dianomi's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Dianomi's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Dianomi's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as earnings have been stuck during that whole time. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.2% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Dianomi's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Dianomi's P/E?

Dianomi's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Dianomi currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Dianomi (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Dianomi. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Dianomi is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.