When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. So after glancing at the trends within Victrex (LON:VCT), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Victrex is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.093 = UK£50m ÷ (UK£583m - UK£51m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Therefore, Victrex has an ROCE of 9.3%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 9.5%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for Victrex
In the above chart we have measured Victrex's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Victrex for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Victrex's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 22%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Victrex to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line On Victrex's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Victrex is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 50% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Like most companies, Victrex does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:VCT
Victrex
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of polymer solutions worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.
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