The board of Marshalls plc (LON:MSLH) has announced that the dividend on 1st of December will be reduced by 15% from last year's £0.026 to £0.022. The dividend yield will be in the average range for the industry at 4.7%.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Marshalls' stock price has reduced by 39% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.
Marshalls' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Before this announcement, Marshalls was paying out 81% of earnings, but a comparatively small 65% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 85.4%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 45%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Check out our latest analysis for Marshalls
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of £0.06 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of £0.076. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 2.4% per annum over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Marshalls has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 6.3% per annum. EPS has been growing at a reasonable rate, although with most of the profits being paid out to shareholders, growth prospects could be more limited in the future.
Our Thoughts On Marshalls' Dividend
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Marshalls that you should be aware of before investing. Is Marshalls not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:MSLH
Marshalls
Manufactures and sells landscape, building, and roofing products in the United Kingdom and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.
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