Atalaya Mining Plc

LSE:ATYM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£492.7m

Atalaya Mining Valuation

Is ATYM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATYM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ATYM (£3.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£15.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ATYM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATYM?

Key metric: As ATYM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ATYM. This is calculated by dividing ATYM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ATYM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23x
Earnings€25.84m
Market Cap€593.80m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ATYM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ATYM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.3x
CAML Central Asia Metals
8.4x12.6%UK£271.4m
ANTO Antofagasta
26.2x18.3%UK£16.0b
PAF Pan African Resources
10.3x29.5%UK£652.6m
KMR Kenmare Resources
4.5x3.7%UK£298.9m
ATYM Atalaya Mining
23x39.1%UK£492.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ATYM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ATYM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.8x-60.3%US$116.04m
ARCM Arc Minerals
1.9xn/aUS$20.45m
ATYM 23.0xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATYM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (9.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATYM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATYM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ATYM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATYM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.50
UK£4.97
+41.9%
10.1%UK£5.55UK£4.10n/a6
Dec ’25UK£3.56
UK£4.97
+39.5%
10.1%UK£5.55UK£4.10n/a6
Nov ’25UK£3.75
UK£5.07
+35.3%
9.8%UK£5.85UK£4.40n/a6
Oct ’25UK£3.95
UK£5.16
+30.6%
9.5%UK£5.85UK£4.50n/a6
Sep ’25UK£3.87
UK£5.28
+36.3%
7.6%UK£5.85UK£4.80n/a6
Aug ’25UK£3.75
UK£5.30
+41.3%
7.4%UK£5.85UK£4.80n/a6
Jul ’25UK£4.36
UK£5.38
+23.5%
8.5%UK£5.95UK£4.80n/a6
Jun ’25UK£4.33
UK£5.31
+22.6%
7.4%UK£5.95UK£4.80n/a6
May ’25UK£4.39
UK£5.01
+14.2%
10.0%UK£5.80UK£4.10n/a6
Apr ’25UK£3.88
UK£4.67
+20.3%
10.7%UK£5.30UK£4.00n/a6
Mar ’25UK£3.33
UK£4.43
+33.1%
15.9%UK£5.40UK£3.40n/a6
Feb ’25UK£3.36
UK£4.43
+31.9%
15.9%UK£5.40UK£3.40n/a6
Jan ’25UK£3.61
UK£4.60
+27.4%
15.0%UK£5.80UK£3.80n/a6
Dec ’24UK£3.27
UK£4.55
+39.1%
15.5%UK£5.80UK£3.80UK£3.566
Nov ’24UK£3.03
UK£4.58
+51.3%
18.3%UK£5.80UK£3.70UK£3.756
Oct ’24UK£3.40
UK£4.77
+40.2%
15.7%UK£6.00UK£4.10UK£3.956
Sep ’24UK£3.24
UK£4.73
+46.1%
16.4%UK£6.00UK£4.00UK£3.876
Aug ’24UK£3.31
UK£4.71
+42.2%
15.9%UK£5.95UK£4.00UK£3.756
Jul ’24UK£3.20
UK£4.79
+49.7%
14.5%UK£5.95UK£4.00UK£4.366
Jun ’24UK£3.04
UK£4.74
+56.0%
12.6%UK£5.95UK£4.20UK£4.336
May ’24UK£3.31
UK£4.78
+44.3%
12.3%UK£5.95UK£4.20UK£4.396
Apr ’24UK£3.41
UK£4.79
+40.5%
12.0%UK£5.95UK£4.20UK£3.886
Mar ’24UK£3.72
UK£4.65
+25.0%
15.2%UK£6.00UK£4.00UK£3.336
Feb ’24UK£3.51
UK£4.13
+17.5%
6.7%UK£4.70UK£3.85UK£3.366
Jan ’24UK£3.30
UK£3.78
+14.4%
8.5%UK£4.00UK£3.10UK£3.616
Dec ’23UK£3.00
UK£3.78
+25.8%
8.5%UK£4.00UK£3.10UK£3.276

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 19:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Atalaya Mining Plc is covered by 16 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Charles FitzroyArden Partners Plc.
Richard HatchBerenberg
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research