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Antofagasta plcLSE:ANTO Stock Report

Market Cap UK£37.7b
Share Price
UK£38.22
UK£35
9.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y114.6%
7D-11.1%
Portfolio Value
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Antofagasta plc

LSE:ANTO Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£37.7b

ANTO Community Fair Values

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See what 31 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Antofagasta plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Antofagasta
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£38.22
52 Week HighUK£44.75
52 Week LowUK£16.76
Beta1.35
1 Month Change1.02%
3 Month Change-1.37%
1 Year Change114.60%
3 Year Change181.44%
5 Year Change153.95%
Change since IPO5,237.99%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 15

ANTO: Geopolitical And Sector Risks Will Likely Pressure Copper Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Antofagasta slightly lower to £23.50 from about £23.72, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and mixed price target revisions, with several recent moves in the £100 to £600 range across the broker community. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta shows a wide spread of views, with some firms lifting price targets while others turn more cautious.
Narrative Update Apr 29

ANTO: Mixed Broker Views Will Shape Outlook As Copper Conditions Steer Expectations

Antofagasta's analyst fair value has shifted from £26.26 to £35.00, as analysts factor in revised assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and discount rates, alongside a mix of recent target changes, including multiple raises from Citi, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and others, set against several downgrades and target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Antofagasta presents a mixed picture, with both bullish and bearish analysts adjusting ratings and price targets in quick succession.
Narrative Update Apr 14

ANTO: Copper Price Strength Will Support Medium Term Earnings Power

Antofagasta's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower to reflect a modest trim in fair value to £46.99 from £47.82, as analysts balance recent target increases and upgrades with more cautious moves around discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta shows a mix of raised and trimmed price targets, alongside both upgrades and downgrades.
Narrative Update Mar 31

ANTO: Copper Upswing And Centinela Expansion Will Support Medium Term Earnings Power

Antofagasta's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from £40.28 to £47.82, as analysts balance higher assumed revenue growth with lower profit margins and a mixed series of recent target changes and rating moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Antofagasta shows a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target resets, with views split on valuation, risk and execution.
Analysis Article Mar 29

Antofagasta plc (LON:ANTO) Full-Year Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

It's been a good week for Antofagasta plc ( LON:ANTO ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 15

ANTO: Geopolitical And Sector Risks Will Likely Pressure Copper Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Antofagasta slightly lower to £23.50 from about £23.72, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and mixed price target revisions, with several recent moves in the £100 to £600 range across the broker community. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta shows a wide spread of views, with some firms lifting price targets while others turn more cautious.
Narrative Update Apr 29

ANTO: Mixed Broker Views Will Shape Outlook As Copper Conditions Steer Expectations

Antofagasta's analyst fair value has shifted from £26.26 to £35.00, as analysts factor in revised assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and discount rates, alongside a mix of recent target changes, including multiple raises from Citi, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and others, set against several downgrades and target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Antofagasta presents a mixed picture, with both bullish and bearish analysts adjusting ratings and price targets in quick succession.
Narrative Update Apr 14

ANTO: Copper Price Strength Will Support Medium Term Earnings Power

Antofagasta's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower to reflect a modest trim in fair value to £46.99 from £47.82, as analysts balance recent target increases and upgrades with more cautious moves around discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta shows a mix of raised and trimmed price targets, alongside both upgrades and downgrades.
Narrative Update Mar 31

ANTO: Copper Upswing And Centinela Expansion Will Support Medium Term Earnings Power

Antofagasta's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from £40.28 to £47.82, as analysts balance higher assumed revenue growth with lower profit margins and a mixed series of recent target changes and rating moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Antofagasta shows a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target resets, with views split on valuation, risk and execution.
Analysis Article Mar 29

Antofagasta plc (LON:ANTO) Full-Year Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

It's been a good week for Antofagasta plc ( LON:ANTO ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...
Narrative Update Mar 17

ANTO: Copper Optimism Will Likely Underestimate Geopolitical And Project Execution Risks

Antofagasta's analyst fair value estimate has edged up from £23.49 to £23.72, as analysts weigh higher revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and a higher discount rate against a mixed set of recent price target changes that reflect both upgraded and downgraded views on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta shows a split in opinion, with upbeat price target moves and upgrades offset by a cluster of downgrades and more conservative assumptions on copper and iron ore.
Narrative Update Mar 02

ANTO: High Copper Optimism Will Likely Outrun Centinela Execution And Delivery Risks

Narrative update The analyst price target for Antofagasta has been lifted by £0.49 to £23.49. Analysts point to recalibrated fair value assumptions, a higher future P/E multiple, and updated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins as key drivers of the change.
Narrative Update Feb 16

ANTO: Elevated Copper Hopes Will Likely Struggle Against Centinela Execution Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Antofagasta has been raised from £21.04 to £23.00. Analysts cite updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, and a slightly higher discount rate, along with recent upward and downward revisions to Street price targets.
Narrative Update Feb 02

ANTO: Project Execution Risks Likely To Challenge Rich Copper Earnings Expectations

The analyst price target for Antofagasta has been lifted to a new fair value estimate of £21.04 from £18.96 as analysts factor in higher assumed revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple supported by recent target hikes and rating changes across major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta points to a mix of optimism on growth projects and caution on how much of that potential is already reflected in the share price.
Narrative Update Jan 19

ANTO: Copper Upswing And Project Delivery Will Support Medium Term Earnings Power

The analyst fair value estimate for Antofagasta has been raised from £35.03 to £40.28, reflecting updated assumptions on margins, growth and future P/E as analysts respond to recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Antofagasta shows a wide range of opinions, but the most optimistic voices are highlighting potential upside tied to project execution and revised valuation assumptions.
Analysis Article Jan 19

Antofagasta plc's (LON:ANTO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43x Antofagasta plc ( LON:ANTO ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Narrative Update Jan 05

ANTO: Future Copper Output Guidance Will Test Rich Earnings Expectations

The analyst fair value estimate for Antofagasta has been raised from £13.72 to £18.96 as analysts factor in updated Street price targets in the £2,400 to £3,500 range, paired with assumptions for higher revenue, stronger profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta shows a wide range of price targets, from £24.00 to £35.00 per share, with different views on how much upside is left after the stock's recent re-rating.
Analysis Article Dec 24

Antofagasta plc's (LON:ANTO) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 95% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Antofagasta's estimated fair value is UK£63.22 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Antofagasta's...
Narrative Update Dec 16

ANTO: Copper Cycle Upswing Will Support Medium Term Earnings Power

The analyst price target for Antofagasta has been lifted from about $25.09 to roughly $35.03 as analysts factor in higher forecast revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a richer future earnings multiple, supported by a series of upward target revisions from major brokers, despite some valuation driven downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Antofagasta reflects a broadly constructive stance, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets meaningfully as they reassess the company’s earnings power and leverage to the copper cycle.
Analysis Article Dec 04

Antofagasta (LON:ANTO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Narrative Update Dec 02

ANTO: Fluctuating Broker Views Will Shape Outlook As Production Guidance Is Watched

Antofagasta’s analyst price target has risen slightly from £25.84 to £26.26. This change reflects analysts’ improved confidence following recent upward revisions in Street research and ongoing strength in profit margins.
Narrative Update Nov 18

ANTO: Future Copper Output And Earnings Momentum Will Be Closely Watched

Antofagasta's analyst price target has been revised downward from £24.79 to £25.84 per share. This change reflects a more cautious outlook from analysts amid recent reductions in growth and profitability expectations.
Narrative Update Nov 03

ANTO: Share Price Strength Will Face Pressure From Overextended Valuation This Year

Antofagasta's analyst price target has recently been lowered by a moderate margin, with new targets ranging from £24.00 to £34.00. Analysts cite updated valuation assumptions and evolving expectations for profit margins and growth rates.
Narrative Update Oct 20

Copper Expansion And Water Efficiency Will Secure Future Production

Antofagasta's analyst fair value target has increased from £21.55 to £24.71. This change reflects analysts' improved outlook on revenue growth and profitability, as supported by recent upward price target revisions despite some valuation concerns.
Narrative Update Oct 05

Copper Expansion And Water Efficiency Will Secure Future Production

Antofagasta’s analyst price target has increased by approximately £0.98. Analysts point to strengthened profit margins and higher expected revenue growth, despite concerns over valuation.
Analysis Article Sep 30

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Antofagasta plc (LON:ANTO) With Shares Advancing 31%

Antofagasta plc ( LON:ANTO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. The...
Analysis Article Sep 26

Is Antofagasta (LON:ANTO) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update Sep 20

Copper Expansion And Water Efficiency Will Secure Future Production

Analysts have modestly raised Antofagasta’s price target to £20.57, citing stronger copper price forecasts, resilient operational performance, and easing input cost pressures, though some caution remains following recent share price gains. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are responding to stronger copper price forecasts and anticipated demand growth driven by ongoing electrification and green energy trends.
Analysis Article Sep 05

Antofagasta (LON:ANTO) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Centinela Second Concentrator Will Increase Future Copper Output Amid Rising Global Demand

Analysts have raised Antofagasta’s price target to £20.36, citing higher copper price forecasts, confidence in production growth and cost control, and sector tailwinds, though some caution remains due to commodity volatility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improving copper price forecasts driven by robust global demand and supply constraints as a key reason for upward price target revisions.
Analysis Article Jul 22

Antofagasta plc's (LON:ANTO) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.4x Antofagasta plc ( LON:ANTO ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Here's Why Antofagasta (LON:ANTO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
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New Narrative Mar 15

Centinela Second Concentrator Will Increase Future Copper Output Amid Rising Global Demand

Antofagasta is well-positioned for growth due to increased copper demand tied to electrification and AI, aiding revenue from potentially higher copper prices.

Shareholder Returns

ANTOGB Metals and MiningGB Market
7D-11.1%-7.6%0.5%
1Y114.6%83.6%18.0%

Return vs Industry: ANTO exceeded the UK Metals and Mining industry which returned 79.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ANTO exceeded the UK Market which returned 16.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ANTO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ANTO volatility
ANTO Average Weekly Movement9.1%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement9.2%
Market Average Movement5.7%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market12.0%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: ANTO's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: ANTO's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18888,457Ivan Arriagada Herrerawww.antofagasta.co.uk

Antofagasta plc operates as a mining company. It operates through Los Pelambres, Centinela, Antucoya, Zaldívar, Exploration and Evaluation, and Transport Division segments. The company produces copper cathodes and copper concentrates; molybdenum concentrates; and gold and silver by-products.

Antofagasta plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Antofagasta's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ANTO fundamental statistics
Market capUK£37.68b
Earnings (TTM)UK£988.90m
Revenue (TTM)UK£6.41b
38.1x
P/E Ratio
5.9x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ANTO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$8.62b
Cost of RevenueUS$4.32b
Gross ProfitUS$4.30b
Other ExpensesUS$2.97b
EarningsUS$1.33b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Aug 13, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)1.35
Gross Margin49.93%
Net Profit Margin15.42%
Debt/Equity Ratio52.0%

How did ANTO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.3%
Current Dividend Yield
48%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 05:43
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Antofagasta plc is covered by 37 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Izak RossouwBarclays
Peter WardBarclays
Izak RossouwBarclays