Stock Analysis

AltynGold plc's (LON:ALTN) Share Price Boosted 85% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

LSE:ALTN
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AltynGold plc (LON:ALTN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 85% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 35% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, AltynGold's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 27x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for AltynGold as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for AltynGold

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LSE:ALTN Price Based on Past Earnings January 27th 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for AltynGold, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, AltynGold would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why AltynGold is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, AltynGold's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that AltynGold maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with AltynGold (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AltynGold. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:ALTN

AltynGold

Engages in the exploration and development of gold doré properties that contain gold and silver mineral deposits in the Republic of Kazakhstan.

Outstanding track record with adequate balance sheet.

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