Alamos Gold Valuation
Is 0UGS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 0UGS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 0UGS (CA$25.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$3.1)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 0UGS is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0UGS?
Key metric: As 0UGS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 0UGS's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 32.3x |
| Earnings | US$243.80m |
| Market Cap | US$7.87b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 6.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 0UGS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 27.7x | ||
CEY Centamin | 25.2x | 23.9% | UK£1.7b |
HOC Hochschild Mining | 50.1x | 53.0% | UK£1.2b |
PAF Pan African Resources | 11.1x | 29.0% | UK£696.6m |
FRES Fresnillo | 24.2x | 33.0% | UK£4.8b |
0UGS Alamos Gold | 32.3x | 29.2% | CA$11.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0UGS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the peer average (27.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 0UGS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0UGS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (10.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 0UGS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 32.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 0UGS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CA$25.54 | CA$36.04 +41.1% | 8.2% | CA$40.40 | CA$32.51 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’25 | CA$28.14 | CA$35.79 +27.2% | 8.7% | CA$40.43 | CA$32.06 | n/a | 8 |
| Oct ’25 | CA$27.30 | CA$33.00 +20.9% | 10.9% | CA$40.06 | CA$29.26 | n/a | 8 |
| Sep ’25 | CA$26.26 | CA$28.60 +8.9% | 13.7% | CA$38.02 | CA$24.91 | n/a | 8 |
| Aug ’25 | CA$23.76 | CA$29.06 +22.3% | 13.0% | CA$38.07 | CA$25.63 | n/a | 8 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | CA$26.31 0% | 4.4% | CA$28.09 | CA$24.72 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’25 | CA$22.87 | CA$25.91 +13.3% | 3.5% | CA$27.23 | CA$24.79 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’25 | CA$20.70 | CA$24.76 +19.6% | 12.4% | CA$27.06 | CA$16.29 | n/a | 10 |
| Apr ’25 | CA$19.53 | CA$22.81 +16.8% | 9.8% | CA$26.01 | CA$18.52 | n/a | 10 |
| Mar ’25 | CA$15.53 | CA$21.68 +39.6% | 9.7% | CA$25.00 | CA$17.07 | n/a | 10 |
| Feb ’25 | CA$16.40 | CA$21.67 +32.1% | 10.0% | CA$24.86 | CA$17.00 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | CA$20.51 0% | 10.6% | CA$24.12 | CA$16.28 | n/a | 9 |
| Dec ’24 | CA$19.62 | CA$20.55 +4.8% | 10.3% | CA$24.98 | CA$16.86 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’24 | CA$17.47 | CA$20.40 +16.8% | 10.9% | CA$24.98 | CA$16.98 | CA$28.14 | 10 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | CA$19.98 0% | 11.2% | CA$24.04 | CA$17.05 | CA$27.30 | 9 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | CA$20.07 0% | 11.2% | CA$24.15 | CA$17.12 | CA$26.26 | 9 |
| Aug ’24 | CA$16.36 | CA$19.84 +21.3% | 11.2% | CA$24.06 | CA$16.99 | CA$23.76 | 9 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | CA$20.11 0% | 10.9% | CA$24.18 | CA$16.56 | n/a | 9 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | CA$20.07 0% | 10.2% | CA$23.86 | CA$16.85 | CA$22.87 | 9 |
| May ’24 | CA$17.58 | CA$19.52 +11.1% | 10.7% | CA$23.98 | CA$16.93 | CA$20.70 | 9 |
| Apr ’24 | CA$16.63 | CA$17.37 +4.5% | 8.6% | CA$19.01 | CA$14.85 | CA$19.53 | 9 |
| Mar ’24 | CA$13.83 | CA$17.27 +24.8% | 7.9% | CA$19.12 | CA$15.03 | CA$15.53 | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | CA$14.70 | CA$16.28 +10.8% | 9.9% | CA$18.90 | CA$13.38 | CA$16.40 | 9 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | CA$14.48 0% | 7.6% | CA$16.15 | CA$12.86 | n/a | 9 |
| Dec ’23 | CA$12.87 | CA$14.20 +10.3% | 9.6% | CA$16.07 | CA$11.92 | CA$19.62 | 10 |
| Nov ’23 | CA$10.90 | CA$14.05 +28.9% | 11.1% | CA$16.13 | CA$11.95 | CA$17.47 | 10 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
NV Bekaert
€1.7b
Provides steel wire transformation and coating technologies worldwide.
0OQJ
€31.88
7D
-2.8%
1Y
-22.8%
Navigator Company
€2.5b
Manufactures and markets pulp and paper products worldwide.
0KLO
€3.51
7D
-2.8%
1Y
-6.8%
TFF Group
€682.9m
Manufactures and distributes barrels and wood products for the aging of wines and alcohols in France, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally.
0IH4
€31.20
7D
-4.0%
1Y
-25.5%