AMG Critical Materials N.V.

LSE:0LO9 Stock Report

Market Cap: €730.5m

AMG Critical Materials Valuation

Is 0LO9 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0LO9 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0LO9 (€22.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€51.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0LO9 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0LO9?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0LO9 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.7x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0LO9's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0LO9 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
KMR Kenmare Resources
2.8x-15.3%UK£294.9m
GFM Griffin Mining
36.2x6.7%UK£284.1m
CAPD Capital
6.9x-0.5%UK£202.1m
MTL Metals Exploration
3xn/aUK£107.3m
0LO9 AMG Critical Materials
7.8x19.4%€730.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0LO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0LO9's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0LO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0LO9's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0LO9 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0LO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0LO9 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€22.66
€25.69
+13.4%
22.2%€32.27€18.19n/a4
Apr ’25€21.04
€24.93
+18.5%
23.2%€31.90€17.99n/a5
Mar ’25€21.47
€24.93
+16.1%
23.2%€31.90€17.99n/a5
Feb ’25€19.50
€27.45
+40.8%
27.9%€40.54€21.16n/a5
Jan ’25€22.88
€27.81
+21.5%
27.2%€40.70€20.75n/a5
Dec ’24€22.06
€27.65
+25.3%
27.6%€40.01€20.40n/a5
Nov ’24€24.47
€43.73
+78.7%
16.3%€53.00€35.18n/a5
Oct ’24€28.56
€51.86
+81.6%
21.7%€67.72€36.02n/a5
Sep ’24€31.66
€54.30
+71.6%
13.6%€64.99€43.06n/a5
Aug ’24€36.35
€54.58
+50.1%
14.2%€66.19€43.09n/a5
Jul ’24€47.43
€58.15
+22.6%
8.8%€65.63€52.09n/a4
Jun ’24€42.87
€56.22
+31.1%
4.4%€60.05€53.21n/a4
May ’24€33.38
€53.70
+60.9%
1.9%€54.52€51.97€22.204
Apr ’24€38.91
€53.89
+38.5%
3.0%€55.22€51.16€21.044
Mar ’24€38.50
€54.23
+40.9%
2.9%€56.17€52.04€21.474
Feb ’24€34.97
€50.54
+44.5%
7.2%€54.02€45.13€19.504
Jan ’24€35.03
€49.22
+40.5%
8.1%€53.84€42.40€22.885
Dec ’23€37.58
€49.22
+31.0%
8.1%€53.84€42.40€22.065
Nov ’23€32.64
€49.31
+51.1%
11.7%€53.89€38.26€24.475
Oct ’23€23.00
€48.70
+111.8%
12.8%€56.15€40.06€28.565
Sep ’23€24.63
€48.43
+96.6%
12.6%€55.51€39.60€31.665
Aug ’23€27.50
€48.75
+77.2%
12.8%€56.71€38.94€36.355
Jul ’23€24.12
€48.51
+101.1%
10.2%€54.91€42.71€47.435
Jun ’23€34.27
€47.67
+39.1%
10.2%€53.97€41.98€42.875
May ’23€37.41
€46.73
+24.9%
12.4%€54.63€38.02€33.385

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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