Kenmare Resources plc

LSE:KMR Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£277.9m

Kenmare Resources Valuation

Is KMR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KMR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KMR (£3.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£16.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KMR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KMR?

Key metric: As KMR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KMR. This is calculated by dividing KMR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KMR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.1x
EarningsUS$84.08m
Market CapUS$347.96m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KMR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KMR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.6x
GFM Griffin Mining
15.6x-3.8%UK£266.6m
CAPD Capital
6.8x6.9%UK£158.2m
MTL Metals Exploration
0.8xn/aUK£92.6m
KOD Kodal Minerals
3.1x-38.9%UK£82.0m
KMR Kenmare Resources
4.1x3.7%UK£277.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KMR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (6.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KMR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.8xn/aUS$115.97m
TGR Tirupati Graphite
1.2xn/aUS$10.50m
No more companies available in this PE range
KMR 4.1xIndustry Avg. 9.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KMR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KMR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KMR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.1x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KMR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KMR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.12
UK£6.15
+97.6%
23.8%UK£8.49UK£4.20n/a5
Dec ’25UK£3.60
UK£5.97
+66.0%
26.8%UK£8.52UK£4.22n/a4
Nov ’25UK£3.54
UK£5.97
+68.8%
26.8%UK£8.52UK£4.22n/a4
Oct ’25UK£3.42
UK£5.84
+71.1%
25.5%UK£8.22UK£4.20n/a4
Sep ’25UK£3.51
UK£5.80
+65.6%
27.7%UK£8.38UK£4.19n/a4
Aug ’25UK£3.38
UK£5.94
+75.9%
28.1%UK£8.57UK£4.23n/a4
Jul ’25UK£3.23
UK£5.81
+79.8%
28.0%UK£8.37UK£4.20n/a4
Jun ’25UK£3.60
UK£5.91
+64.1%
27.7%UK£8.49UK£4.32n/a4
May ’25UK£3.28
UK£5.91
+80.4%
27.7%UK£8.49UK£4.32n/a4
Apr ’25UK£3.27
UK£5.95
+82.1%
27.6%UK£8.55UK£4.40n/a4
Mar ’25UK£3.05
UK£5.90
+93.4%
27.9%UK£8.50UK£4.30n/a4
Feb ’25UK£3.17
UK£5.64
+78.0%
29.7%UK£8.50UK£4.29n/a4
Jan ’25UK£3.95
UK£6.59
+67.1%
18.6%UK£8.58UK£5.48n/a4
Dec ’24UK£4.10
UK£6.98
+70.2%
15.7%UK£8.53UK£5.70UK£3.604
Nov ’24UK£3.92
UK£6.98
+78.0%
15.7%UK£8.53UK£5.70UK£3.544
Oct ’24UK£4.15
UK£7.25
+74.7%
17.4%UK£8.87UK£5.40UK£3.424
Sep ’24UK£4.20
UK£7.01
+67.1%
16.0%UK£8.50UK£5.43UK£3.514
Aug ’24UK£4.24
UK£7.04
+66.2%
16.4%UK£8.71UK£5.53UK£3.384
Jul ’24UK£4.47
UK£7.43
+66.1%
10.0%UK£8.51UK£6.56UK£3.234
Jun ’24UK£4.41
UK£6.71
+52.1%
13.0%UK£7.77UK£5.37UK£3.604
May ’24UK£4.62
UK£6.85
+48.3%
14.7%UK£8.24UK£5.43UK£3.284
Apr ’24UK£4.70
UK£7.26
+54.6%
9.4%UK£8.19UK£6.58UK£3.273
Mar ’24UK£4.89
UK£7.30
+49.2%
5.4%UK£7.79UK£6.83UK£3.053
Feb ’24UK£4.77
UK£7.30
+53.0%
5.4%UK£7.79UK£6.83UK£3.173
Jan ’24UK£4.39
UK£6.96
+58.7%
3.1%UK£7.12UK£6.65UK£3.953
Dec ’23UK£4.36
UK£7.11
+63.4%
2.7%UK£7.35UK£6.88UK£4.103

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 00:41
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Kenmare Resources plc is covered by 17 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard HatchBerenberg
Desmond KilaleaCanaccord Genuity
Kevin TimoneyDavy