Salzgitter Valuation

Is SZGD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SZGD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SZGD (€18.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€10.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SZGD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SZGD?

Key metric: As SZGD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SZGD. This is calculated by dividing SZGD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SZGD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.09x
Sales€10.11b
Market Cap€945.99m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SZGD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SZGD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
EVR EVRAZ
0.1x-8.5%UK£1.2b
HILS Hill & Smith
2x6.0%UK£1.7b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.3xn/aUS$4.1b
FXPO Ferrexpo
0.7x4.9%UK£448.9m
SZGD Salzgitter
0.09x2.1%€946.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SZGD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SZGD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.5%
SZGD Salzgitter
0.09x2.1%US$1.00b
GLEN Glencore
0.3x-0.8%US$58.48b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.3xn/aUS$4.08b
No. of Companies14PS01.22.43.64.86+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.6%
SZGD Salzgitter
0.09x93.9%US$1.00b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SZGD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SZGD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SZGD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.09x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SZGD's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SZGD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.02
€18.97
+5.3%
50.6%€45.00€11.50n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
€18.54
0%
52.1%€45.00€11.50n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
€19.44
0%
47.7%€45.00€13.50n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
€20.11
0%
44.8%€45.00€14.50n/a9
Aug ’25n/a
€21.59
0%
39.9%€45.00€16.00n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
€24.83
0%
30.7%€45.00€17.40n/a9
Jun ’25n/a
€25.23
0%
29.3%€45.00€19.10n/a9
May ’25n/a
€26.17
0%
26.8%€45.00€20.70n/a9
Apr ’25n/a
€27.09
0%
25.5%€45.00€20.70n/a9
Mar ’25n/a
€28.75
0%
20.8%€45.00€21.50n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
€28.75
0%
20.8%€45.00€21.50n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
€28.83
0%
21.8%€45.00€21.50n/a9
Dec ’24€27.55
€28.88
+4.8%
21.9%€45.00€21.50n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
€28.13
0%
23.2%€45.00€21.50n/a9
Oct ’24n/a
€29.68
0%
24.3%€45.00€17.60n/a9
Sep ’24n/a
€30.24
0%
21.6%€45.00€20.20n/a9
Aug ’24n/a
€33.50
0%
17.5%€45.00€23.30n/a9
Jul ’24€34.06
€35.57
+4.4%
12.7%€45.00€29.20n/a9
Jun ’24€31.12
€35.48
+14.0%
12.9%€45.00€29.20n/a9
May ’24n/a
€36.51
0%
10.4%€45.00€31.10n/a9
Apr ’24n/a
€36.08
0%
13.0%€45.00€26.60n/a9
Mar ’24n/a
€34.30
0%
17.9%€45.00€21.20n/a9
Feb ’24n/a
€34.30
0%
17.9%€45.00€21.20n/a9
Jan ’24n/a
€29.25
0%
24.9%€45.00€18.60n/a10
Dec ’23€27.98
€29.00
+3.6%
24.0%€45.00€20.50€27.5510
Nov ’23€23.42
€28.44
+21.4%
28.0%€45.00€19.60n/a10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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