Castings Valuation

Is CGS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CGS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CGS (£2.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CGS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CGS?

Key metric: As CGS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CGS. This is calculated by dividing CGS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CGS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.7x
EarningsUK£12.10m
Market CapUK£117.34m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CGS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CGS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.6x
ECOR Ecora Resources
10.5x14.9%UK£165.0m
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUK£1.2b
HILS Hill & Smith
22.5x10.9%UK£1.7b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.1b
CGS Castings
9.3x-0.1%UK£113.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CGS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CGS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENPL En+ Group International
2.2x8.0%US$4.67b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.9x-60.3%US$126.89m
CGS 9.7xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CGS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (10.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CGS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CGS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.7x
Fair PE Ratio9.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CGS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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