South32 Valuation

Is S32L undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S32L when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S32L (£1.91) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£1.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S32L is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S32L?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

S32L key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does S32L's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for S32L vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
RIO Rio Tinto Group
2.1x-0.6%UK£90.9b
AAL Anglo American
1.3x2.0%UK£29.6b
GLEN Glencore
0.3x-1.0%UK£51.9b
KMR Kenmare Resources
1x4.3%UK£291.8m
S32L South32
2.1x8.6%UK£16.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: S32L is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S32L's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: S32L is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S32L's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S32L PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.1x
Fair PS Ratio2.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: S32L is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S32L forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.91
UK£1.85
-3.3%
15.3%UK£2.28UK£1.11n/a15
Sep ’25UK£1.60
UK£1.87
+16.3%
15.7%UK£2.33UK£1.14n/a15
Aug ’25UK£1.57
UK£1.95
+24.2%
11.3%UK£2.38UK£1.57n/a14
Jul ’25UK£1.98
UK£2.15
+8.5%
9.7%UK£2.51UK£1.69n/a14
Jun ’25UK£2.06
UK£2.04
-1.4%
10.4%UK£2.40UK£1.68n/a14
May ’25UK£1.81
UK£1.97
+9.2%
9.3%UK£2.45UK£1.73n/a14
Apr ’25UK£1.55
UK£1.94
+25.0%
9.4%UK£2.42UK£1.71n/a14
Mar ’25UK£1.55
UK£1.95
+25.7%
8.9%UK£2.42UK£1.75n/a13
Feb ’25UK£1.70
UK£1.99
+17.3%
9.8%UK£2.46UK£1.61n/a13
Jan ’25UK£1.78
UK£2.04
+14.6%
10.9%UK£2.53UK£1.61n/a13
Dec ’24UK£1.64
UK£2.07
+25.8%
11.7%UK£2.51UK£1.59n/a13
Nov ’24UK£1.73
UK£2.16
+24.6%
12.4%UK£2.72UK£1.67n/a13
Oct ’24UK£1.80
UK£2.19
+21.5%
11.8%UK£2.73UK£1.79n/a12
Sep ’24UK£1.77
UK£2.11
+19.1%
11.1%UK£2.62UK£1.77UK£1.6012
Aug ’24UK£2.02
UK£2.26
+12.1%
9.6%UK£2.73UK£1.95UK£1.5712
Jul ’24UK£1.99
UK£2.49
+24.8%
9.3%UK£2.97UK£2.23UK£1.9812
Jun ’24UK£2.03
UK£2.61
+28.7%
8.7%UK£3.10UK£2.37UK£2.0612
May ’24UK£2.22
UK£2.61
+17.4%
8.7%UK£3.07UK£2.30UK£1.8114
Apr ’24UK£2.36
UK£2.79
+18.0%
8.4%UK£3.22UK£2.46UK£1.5515
Mar ’24UK£2.54
UK£2.85
+12.1%
8.0%UK£3.28UK£2.52UK£1.5516
Feb ’24UK£2.63
UK£2.83
+7.7%
8.4%UK£3.23UK£2.45UK£1.7017
Jan ’24UK£2.26
UK£2.61
+15.3%
13.3%UK£3.29UK£1.91UK£1.7817
Dec ’23UK£2.38
UK£2.52
+5.9%
13.6%UK£3.26UK£1.90UK£1.6417
Nov ’23UK£2.09
UK£2.62
+25.6%
14.5%UK£3.31UK£1.95UK£1.7317
Oct ’23UK£2.16
UK£3.02
+40.0%
9.7%UK£3.71UK£2.54UK£1.8017
Sep ’23UK£2.35
UK£3.06
+30.4%
12.2%UK£4.13UK£2.57UK£1.7716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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