Alleima AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:ALLEIS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 18.1b

Alleima Valuation

Is ALLEIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALLEIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALLEIS (SEK68.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK118.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALLEIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALLEIS?

Key metric: As ALLEIS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALLEIS. This is calculated by dividing ALLEIS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALLEIS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
EarningsSEK 1.33b
Market CapSEK 18.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALLEIS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALLEIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
HILS Hill & Smith
22.5x10.9%UK£1.7b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUK£1.2b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.1b
CGS Castings
9.3x-0.1%UK£113.0m
ALLEIS Alleima
13.6x16.6%SEK 18.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALLEIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALLEIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENPL En+ Group International
2.2x8.0%US$4.67b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.9x-60.3%US$126.89m
No. of Companies8PE01020304050+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALLEIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALLEIS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALLEIS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALLEIS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALLEIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
SEK 82.33
0%
12.2%SEK 96.00SEK 72.00n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
SEK 78.50
0%
8.3%SEK 85.00SEK 72.00n/a2
Oct ’25n/a
SEK 80.00
0%
6.3%SEK 85.00SEK 75.00n/a2
Aug ’25n/a
SEK 79.33
0%
10.1%SEK 85.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Jul ’25SEK 71.35
SEK 72.67
+1.8%
7.2%SEK 80.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
SEK 72.67
0%
5.1%SEK 77.00SEK 68.00n/a3
May ’25n/a
SEK 72.67
0%
5.1%SEK 77.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 74.67
0%
8.4%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
SEK 76.00
0%
7.7%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 77.50
0%
7.3%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 75.25
0%
6.3%SEK 80.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
SEK 75.25
0%
6.3%SEK 80.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
SEK 71.50
0%
7.2%SEK 80.00SEK 66.00n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
SEK 67.00
0%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 67.00
0%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
SEK 67.00
0%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00n/a3
Jul ’24SEK 49.21
SEK 67.00
+36.2%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 71.353
Jun ’24SEK 44.58
SEK 67.00
+50.3%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00n/a3
May ’24SEK 52.40
SEK 66.33
+26.6%
9.6%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00n/a3
Apr ’24SEK 48.26
SEK 62.67
+29.9%
10.5%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00n/a3
Mar ’24SEK 55.70
SEK 62.00
+11.3%
12.9%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00n/a2
Feb ’24SEK 52.06
SEK 62.00
+19.1%
12.9%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00n/a2
Jan ’24SEK 38.19
SEK 57.00
+49.3%
12.3%SEK 64.00SEK 50.00n/a2
Dec ’23SEK 40.40
SEK 57.00
+41.1%
12.3%SEK 64.00SEK 50.00n/a2
Nov ’23SEK 38.71
SEK 57.00
+47.2%
12.3%SEK 64.00SEK 50.00n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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