Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Greatland Gold plc (LON:GGP) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Greatland Gold
What Is Greatland Gold's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, Greatland Gold had UK£12.2m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had UK£6.21m in cash, and so its net debt is UK£5.98m.
How Strong Is Greatland Gold's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Greatland Gold had liabilities of UK£3.51m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£16.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£6.21m as well as receivables valued at UK£78.2k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£13.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Greatland Gold shares are worth a total of UK£592.7m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Greatland Gold has a very light debt load indeed. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Greatland Gold can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Since Greatland Gold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Greatland Gold produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£5.7m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled UK£16m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Greatland Gold (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About AIM:GGP
Greatland Gold
Explores for and develops precious and base metals in Australia.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.