Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Bushveld Minerals Limited's (LON:BMN) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 28%

AIM:BMN
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Bushveld Minerals Limited (LON:BMN) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 72% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Bushveld Minerals may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Bushveld Minerals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:BMN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 24th 2024

How Has Bushveld Minerals Performed Recently?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Bushveld Minerals has been doing quite well of late. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to follow the rest of the industry downwards, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bushveld Minerals.

How Is Bushveld Minerals' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Bushveld Minerals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 85% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.5% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 251% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Bushveld Minerals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Bushveld Minerals' P/S

Bushveld Minerals' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of Bushveld Minerals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Bushveld Minerals (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bushveld Minerals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.