Stock Analysis

In the wake of Saga plc's (LON:SAGA) latest UK£17m market cap drop, institutional owners may be forced to take severe actions

LSE:SAGA
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Saga implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • The top 7 shareholders own 52% of the company
  • Insider ownership in Saga is 34%

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Saga plc (LON:SAGA), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 39% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As a result, institutional investors endured the highest losses last week after market cap fell by UK£17m. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 29% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Often called “market movers", institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. As a result, if the downtrend continues, institutions may face pressures to sell Saga, which might have negative implications on individual investors.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Saga.

Check out our latest analysis for Saga

ownership-breakdown
LSE:SAGA Ownership Breakdown August 7th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Saga?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Saga does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Saga's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:SAGA Earnings and Revenue Growth August 7th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Saga. Our data shows that Roger De Haan is the largest shareholder with 26% of shares outstanding. With 8.1% and 5.9% of the shares outstanding respectively, Eldose Babu and Saga Plc., Employee Stock Ownership Plan are the second and third largest shareholders.

We did some more digging and found that 7 of the top shareholders account for roughly 52% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There is some analyst coverage of the stock, but it could still become more well known, with time.

Insider Ownership Of Saga

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of Saga plc. Insiders own UK£49m worth of shares in the UK£142m company. This may suggest that the founders still own a lot of shares. You can click here to see if they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 20% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Saga. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important.

Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.