Hiscox Ltd

LSE:HSX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£5.7b

Hiscox Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

Hiscox has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 43.7%, while the Insurance industry saw earnings growing at 12.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.4% per year. Hiscox's return on equity is 15.3%, and it has net margins of 15%.

Key information

43.73%

Earnings growth rate

44.23%

EPS growth rate

Insurance Industry Growth-7.24%
Revenue growth rate7.37%
Return on equity15.30%
Net Margin15.01%
Next Earnings Update05 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 26

HSX: Future Returns Will Balance Capital Returns With Execution And Rating Risks

Hiscox's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from £16.06 to £16.90, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets as analysts factor in updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research is clustered around higher price targets for Hiscox, which feeds directly into the revised fair value estimate.
Narrative Update Apr 22

HSX: Future Returns Will Balance Capital Returns And Margin Execution Risks

Hiscox's updated fair value estimate edges to £16.06 from £16.35 as analysts lift price targets to £16.11 and £17.10, citing refined profit margin assumptions and P/E expectations, while keeping the discount rate and revenue growth broadly in line with prior views. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on refining how fairly Hiscox is priced, with price targets converging around the updated fair value estimate and modest changes to profit and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 07

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Capital Returns And Earnings Delivery Risks

Analysts have nudged Hiscox's fair value estimate higher to £16.35 from £15.93, in line with recent Street price target lifts to £1,611 and £1,710 that reflect updated views on the stock's P/E assumptions and earnings potential. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows price targets clustered in the £16.11 to £17.10 range, which broadly supports the updated fair value estimate of £16.35.
Narrative Update Mar 24

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Capital Returns And Refined Earnings Expectations

Narrative update on Hiscox Hiscox's updated fair value estimate of £15.93 is broadly unchanged, and analysts have lifted price targets to £16.11 and £17.10, reflecting refreshed views on earnings potential and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target updates cluster around the refreshed fair value estimate of £15.93, with targets of £16.11 and £17.10 signalling a range of views on how much execution and earnings strength are already reflected in the share price.
New Narrative Mar 14

Retail Expansion And AI Investments Will Reshape This Specialty Insurer’s Long Term Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Hiscox Hiscox is an international insurer focused on specialty, retail and reinsurance lines for consumers, small businesses and larger corporate clients. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Mar 08

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Capital Returns And Refined Margin Expectations

Analysts have lifted their price targets for Hiscox, with updated modelling nudging fair value from £15.17 to £15.95. This is supported by Street research that cites higher targets of £16.11 and £17.10, along with refined assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
New Narrative Feb 26

AI Reliance And Execution Risks Will Pressure Margins And Challenge Optimistic Expectations

Catalysts About Hiscox Hiscox is an international insurer and reinsurer focused on retail, London market and reinsurance lines, with a growing digital small commercial platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Feb 21

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Buyback Activity And Margin-Focused Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their Hiscox price target higher from £14.89 to £15.17, citing updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth expectations, balanced by firmer profit margin forecasts and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Hiscox has repurchased 12,568,259 shares between July 1, 2025 and December 19, 2025, for a total of US$222.5 million, representing 3.74% of the company.
Narrative Update Feb 06

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Under-Earning Risks And Buyback-Supported Upside Potential

Analysts have cut their price target on Hiscox from £15.00 to £10.68, citing views that the company is currently under earning with return on equity trailing sector peers. This feeds into updated fair value, discount rate, growth and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Jan 21

HSX: Future Returns Will Balance Under-Earning Concerns With Buyback-Driven Confidence

The analyst price target for Hiscox has been revised lower to £10.69 from £15.00 as analysts factor in views that the business is currently under-earning, with return on equity trailing peers, despite differing opinions reflected in recent target changes around £15.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see scope for upside execution, reflected in a higher £15.00 price target, suggesting confidence that the current earnings profile may not fully reflect the business potential.
Narrative Update Nov 07

HSX: Strong First Half Performance Will Drive Renewed Confidence Ahead

The analyst consensus price target for Hiscox has increased from £14.88 to £15.21 per share. This reflects analysts' improved outlook following strong results and a narrowing valuation gap.
Analysis Article Nov 03

Insufficient Growth At Hiscox Ltd (LON:HSX) Hampers Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.1x Hiscox Ltd ( LON:HSX ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
Narrative Update Oct 24

Capital Returns And Dividend Increases Will Support Performance Amid Market Risks

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Hiscox from £14.82 to £14.88. They cite narrowing valuation gaps and an improved capital return outlook, as reflected in recent price target upgrades by the Street.
Narrative Update Oct 10

New Bermuda Tax And Catastrophe Risks Will Reduce Future Profitability

Narrative Update on Hiscox The analyst consensus price target for Hiscox has increased modestly, rising from £14.59 to £14.82. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected earnings forecasts and robust sector performance to support their raised valuations.
Narrative Update Sep 03

New Bermuda Tax And Catastrophe Risks Will Reduce Future Profitability

Analysts have modestly raised Hiscox’s price target to £14.64, citing increased confidence in sustainable earnings growth, improved underwriting discipline, and the success of its retail-focused strategy despite a challenging market environment. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Hiscox's new retail strategy as a key differentiator, particularly as the large ticket reinsurance and commercial market environment is expected to soften.
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New Narrative Mar 02

New Bermuda Tax And Catastrophe Risks Will Reduce Future Profitability

High capital returns constrain future expansion and operational investment, potentially affecting net margins and earnings.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Hiscox makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

LSE:HSX Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 254,0256041090
30 Sep 253,9766001080
30 Jun 253,9275951060
31 Mar 253,8686111030
31 Dec 243,8086271010
30 Sep 243,7946741180
30 Jun 243,7807211350
31 Mar 243,7407161100
31 Dec 233,700712850
30 Sep 233,483591750
30 Jun 233,267470660
31 Mar 233,121362660
31 Dec 222,975254660
30 Sep 222,9211792020
30 Jun 222,8661043390
31 Mar 222,9441474810
31 Dec 213,0231906220
30 Sep 213,047835770
30 Jun 213,071-245320
31 Mar 213,035-1595520
31 Dec 203,000-2945730
30 Sep 202,930-2705970
30 Jun 202,860-2476220
31 Mar 202,886-996070
31 Dec 192,912495920
30 Sep 192,868825920
30 Jun 192,8241155920
31 Mar 192,7411166000
31 Dec 182,6591186080
30 Sep 182,645885950
30 Jun 182,632595830
31 Mar 182,604465550
31 Dec 172,575345270
30 Sep 172,6531775640
30 Jun 172,5083045510
31 Mar 172,3483605240
31 Dec 162,1984154990
30 Sep 162,1753995050
30 Jun 162,0903704980
31 Mar 162,2033515280
31 Dec 152,1943105290
30 Sep 152,2243305210
30 Jun 152,2843555180

Quality Earnings: HSX has a high level of non-cash earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: HSX's current net profit margins (15%) are lower than last year (16.5%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: HSX has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 43.7% per year.

Accelerating Growth: HSX's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: HSX had negative earnings growth (-3.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Insurance industry average (10.6%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: HSX's Return on Equity (15.3%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/05 17:31
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hiscox Ltd is covered by 25 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ivan BokhmatBarclays
Michael ChristodoulouBerenberg
Thomas SeidlBernstein