Hiscox Ltd

LSE:HSX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£5.6b

Hiscox Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Hiscox is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.8% and 11.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.7% in 3 years.

Key information

5.8%

Earnings growth rate

8.71%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth9.6%
Revenue growth rate11.6%
Future return on equity16.66%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 26

HSX: Future Returns Will Balance Capital Returns With Execution And Rating Risks

Hiscox's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from £16.06 to £16.90, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets as analysts factor in updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research is clustered around higher price targets for Hiscox, which feeds directly into the revised fair value estimate.
Narrative Update • Apr 22

HSX: Future Returns Will Balance Capital Returns And Margin Execution Risks

Hiscox's updated fair value estimate edges to £16.06 from £16.35 as analysts lift price targets to £16.11 and £17.10, citing refined profit margin assumptions and P/E expectations, while keeping the discount rate and revenue growth broadly in line with prior views. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on refining how fairly Hiscox is priced, with price targets converging around the updated fair value estimate and modest changes to profit and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Apr 07

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Capital Returns And Earnings Delivery Risks

Analysts have nudged Hiscox's fair value estimate higher to £16.35 from £15.93, in line with recent Street price target lifts to £1,611 and £1,710 that reflect updated views on the stock's P/E assumptions and earnings potential. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows price targets clustered in the £16.11 to £17.10 range, which broadly supports the updated fair value estimate of £16.35.
Narrative Update • Mar 24

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Capital Returns And Refined Earnings Expectations

Narrative update on Hiscox Hiscox's updated fair value estimate of £15.93 is broadly unchanged, and analysts have lifted price targets to £16.11 and £17.10, reflecting refreshed views on earnings potential and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target updates cluster around the refreshed fair value estimate of £15.93, with targets of £16.11 and £17.10 signalling a range of views on how much execution and earnings strength are already reflected in the share price.
New Narrative • Mar 14

Retail Expansion And AI Investments Will Reshape This Specialty Insurer’s Long Term Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Hiscox Hiscox is an international insurer focused on specialty, retail and reinsurance lines for consumers, small businesses and larger corporate clients. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Mar 08

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Capital Returns And Refined Margin Expectations

Analysts have lifted their price targets for Hiscox, with updated modelling nudging fair value from £15.17 to £15.95. This is supported by Street research that cites higher targets of £16.11 and £17.10, along with refined assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
New Narrative • Feb 26

AI Reliance And Execution Risks Will Pressure Margins And Challenge Optimistic Expectations

Catalysts About Hiscox Hiscox is an international insurer and reinsurer focused on retail, London market and reinsurance lines, with a growing digital small commercial platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Feb 21

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Buyback Activity And Margin-Focused Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their Hiscox price target higher from £14.89 to £15.17, citing updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth expectations, balanced by firmer profit margin forecasts and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Hiscox has repurchased 12,568,259 shares between July 1, 2025 and December 19, 2025, for a total of US$222.5 million, representing 3.74% of the company.
Narrative Update • Feb 06

HSX: Future Returns Will Reflect Under-Earning Risks And Buyback-Supported Upside Potential

Analysts have cut their price target on Hiscox from £15.00 to £10.68, citing views that the company is currently under earning with return on equity trailing sector peers. This feeds into updated fair value, discount rate, growth and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Jan 21

HSX: Future Returns Will Balance Under-Earning Concerns With Buyback-Driven Confidence

The analyst price target for Hiscox has been revised lower to £10.69 from £15.00 as analysts factor in views that the business is currently under-earning, with return on equity trailing peers, despite differing opinions reflected in recent target changes around £15.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see scope for upside execution, reflected in a higher £15.00 price target, suggesting confidence that the current earnings profile may not fully reflect the business potential.
Narrative Update • Nov 07

HSX: Strong First Half Performance Will Drive Renewed Confidence Ahead

The analyst consensus price target for Hiscox has increased from £14.88 to £15.21 per share. This reflects analysts' improved outlook following strong results and a narrowing valuation gap.
Analysis Article • Nov 03

Insufficient Growth At Hiscox Ltd (LON:HSX) Hampers Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.1x Hiscox Ltd ( LON:HSX ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Capital Returns And Dividend Increases Will Support Performance Amid Market Risks

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Hiscox from £14.82 to £14.88. They cite narrowing valuation gaps and an improved capital return outlook, as reflected in recent price target upgrades by the Street.
Narrative Update • Oct 10

New Bermuda Tax And Catastrophe Risks Will Reduce Future Profitability

Narrative Update on Hiscox The analyst consensus price target for Hiscox has increased modestly, rising from £14.59 to £14.82. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected earnings forecasts and robust sector performance to support their raised valuations.
Narrative Update • Sep 03

New Bermuda Tax And Catastrophe Risks Will Reduce Future Profitability

Analysts have modestly raised Hiscox’s price target to £14.64, citing increased confidence in sustainable earnings growth, improved underwriting discipline, and the success of its retail-focused strategy despite a challenging market environment. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Hiscox's new retail strategy as a key differentiator, particularly as the large ticket reinsurance and commercial market environment is expected to soften.
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New Narrative • Mar 02

New Bermuda Tax And Catastrophe Risks Will Reduce Future Profitability

High capital returns constrain future expansion and operational investment, potentially affecting net margins and earnings.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:HSX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20285,8807196737774
12/31/20275,5975795916895
12/31/20265,2835215906945
12/31/20254,0256042673N/A
9/30/20253,9766002066N/A
6/30/20253,9275951359N/A
3/31/20253,8686114487N/A
12/31/20243,80862775114N/A
9/30/20243,794674202241N/A
6/30/20243,780721328367N/A
3/31/20243,740716258300N/A
12/31/20233,700712188232N/A
9/30/20233,483591120177N/A
6/30/20233,26747052121N/A
3/31/20233,121362171247N/A
12/31/20222,975254291373N/A
9/30/20222,921179168245N/A
6/30/20222,86610446116N/A
3/31/20222,944147266N/A
12/31/20213,023190-4217N/A
9/30/20213,04783-53-7N/A
6/30/20213,071-24-64-30N/A
3/31/20213,035-159-121-73N/A
12/31/20203,000-294-178-117N/A
9/30/20202,930-270-4835N/A
6/30/20202,860-24783187N/A
3/31/20202,886-9913113N/A
12/31/20192,91249-5840N/A
9/30/20192,86882N/A-111N/A
6/30/20192,824115N/A-261N/A
3/31/20192,741116N/A19N/A
12/31/20182,659118N/A300N/A
9/30/20182,64588N/A344N/A
6/30/20182,63259N/A388N/A
3/31/20182,60446N/A241N/A
12/31/20172,57534N/A95N/A
9/30/20172,653177N/A159N/A
6/30/20172,508304N/A218N/A
3/31/20172,348360N/A145N/A
12/31/20162,198415N/A70N/A
9/30/20162,175399N/A-89N/A
6/30/20162,090370N/A-257N/A
3/31/20162,203351N/A-88N/A
12/31/20152,194310N/A105N/A
9/30/20152,224330N/A482N/A
6/30/20152,284355N/A889N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HSX's forecast earnings growth (5.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: HSX's earnings (5.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HSX's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HSX's revenue (11.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HSX's revenue (11.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HSX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 08:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hiscox Ltd is covered by 25 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ivan BokhmatBarclays
Michael ChristodoulouBerenberg
Thomas SeidlBernstein