AXA Valuation

Is CSP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSP (€33.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€64.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CSP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.2x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.5x
AV. Aviva
11.9x7.8%UK£12.3b
LGEN Legal & General Group
31.7x22.9%UK£13.8b
PRU Prudential
14.4x15.0%UK£19.6b
ZURN Zurich Insurance Group
16.1x8.6%CHF63.7b
CSP AXA
10.8x5.9%€75.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the peer average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CSP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€33.88
€37.30
+10.1%
7.5%€42.00€32.12n/a17
Apr ’25€34.80
€36.83
+5.8%
7.9%€42.00€32.12n/a17
Mar ’25€32.34
€35.26
+9.0%
8.5%€41.50€29.50n/a18
Feb ’25€30.72
€34.91
+13.6%
8.0%€40.00€29.50n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
€34.38
0%
7.2%€39.00€29.50n/a18
Dec ’24€28.45
€34.14
+20.0%
6.8%€39.00€29.50n/a18
Nov ’24€28.27
€33.77
+19.5%
8.0%€39.00€29.50n/a17
Oct ’24€28.19
€33.63
+19.3%
7.5%€39.00€29.50n/a17
Sep ’24€27.96
€33.57
+20.1%
7.8%€38.00€28.00n/a17
Aug ’24€27.63
€33.29
+20.5%
7.1%€36.60€28.00n/a17
Jul ’24€27.08
€33.43
+23.5%
6.9%€36.60€28.00n/a18
Jun ’24€26.80
€33.27
+24.1%
6.8%€36.60€28.00n/a19
May ’24€29.59
€32.98
+11.4%
6.2%€36.00€28.00n/a19
Apr ’24€28.30
€32.98
+16.5%
6.2%€36.00€28.00€34.8019
Mar ’24€29.99
€32.77
+9.3%
5.7%€35.50€28.00€32.3419
Feb ’24€28.58
€32.28
+13.0%
4.9%€35.00€28.00€30.7219
Jan ’24€26.30
€31.62
+20.3%
4.3%€34.00€28.00n/a19
Dec ’23€27.48
€31.72
+15.5%
3.8%€34.00€29.00€28.4519
Nov ’23€25.25
€30.42
+20.5%
6.1%€33.00€27.00€28.2719
Oct ’23€22.40
€30.58
+36.5%
6.9%€34.00€26.00€28.1919
Sep ’23€23.40
€30.60
+30.8%
7.1%€34.00€25.68€27.9619
Aug ’23€22.46
€30.10
+34.0%
7.6%€34.00€25.68€27.6318
Jul ’23€21.64
€30.68
+41.8%
6.3%€34.00€27.27€27.0818
Jun ’23€23.59
€30.62
+29.8%
6.1%€34.00€27.27€26.8019
May ’23€25.49
€30.63
+20.2%
5.4%€34.00€27.60€29.5920
Apr ’23€26.77
€30.48
+13.9%
7.1%€35.00€26.00€28.3020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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