With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Creightons Plc (LON:CRL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Personal Products companies in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Creightons
What Does Creightons' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Creightons has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Creightons will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Creightons' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Creightons?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Creightons would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 2.8% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 11% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to decline by 1.0% over the next year, or less than the company's recent medium-term annualised revenue decline.
With this information, it's not too hard to see why Creightons is trading at a lower P/S in comparison. Nonetheless, with revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Even just maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares heavily.
The Bottom Line On Creightons' P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Creightons revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Although, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough industry conditions. For now though, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Creightons (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Creightons might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.