Stock Analysis

ConvaTec Group (LON:CTEC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.0141

LSE:CTEC
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The board of ConvaTec Group Plc (LON:CTEC) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 6th of October, with investors receiving $0.0141 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

View our latest analysis for ConvaTec Group

ConvaTec Group's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 148% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 71%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 188.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 44%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

historic-dividend
LSE:CTEC Historic Dividend August 7th 2022

ConvaTec Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2017, the dividend has gone from $0.028 total annually to $0.0587. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. ConvaTec Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though ConvaTec Group's EPS has declined at around 2.5% a year. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think ConvaTec Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 4 warning signs for ConvaTec Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.