UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

BATS-CHIXE:UNHD Stock Report

Market Cap: €474.9b

UnitedHealth Group Valuation

Is UNHD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UNHD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UNHD (€543.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1250.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UNHD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UNHD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UNHD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.9x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UNHD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UNHD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.5x
ELV Elevance Health
18.2x11.6%US$120.6b
SN. Smith & Nephew
43.4x22.7%UK£9.9b
MDC Mediclinic International
21.9x10.7%UK£3.7b
HUM Humana
22.5x19.1%US$37.7b
UNHD UnitedHealth Group
37.6x23.4%€530.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UNHD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UNHD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UNHD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (19.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UNHD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UNHD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UNHD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UNHD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€560.74
0%
4.8%€611.93€494.95n/a24
Sep ’25n/a
€557.83
0%
4.9%€609.21€492.75n/a24
Aug ’25€517.00
€566.53
+9.6%
5.8%€626.28€501.95n/a24
Jul ’25n/a
€537.48
0%
6.3%€630.11€449.01n/a28
Jun ’25n/a
€527.71
0%
7.4%€623.30€424.76n/a28
May ’25n/a
€530.14
0%
7.7%€630.72€429.82n/a27
Apr ’25n/a
€543.83
0%
7.5%€622.76€433.62n/a27
Mar ’25n/a
€547.65
0%
7.3%€622.89€433.72n/a26
Feb ’25€466.00
€548.61
+17.7%
7.1%€622.28€433.29n/a26
Jan ’25n/a
€538.89
0%
7.4%€618.30€439.68n/a23
Dec ’24€507.00
€539.89
+6.5%
6.2%€606.41€459.40n/a23
Nov ’24n/a
€553.63
0%
6.6%€621.65€435.16n/a23
Oct ’24n/a
€530.54
0%
6.6%€608.34€432.39n/a24
Sep ’24€452.50
€519.88
+14.9%
6.7%€593.06€421.53n/a24
Aug ’24€460.00
€516.75
+12.3%
6.8%€591.83€420.65€517.0024
Jul ’24n/a
€526.86
0%
6.8%€594.17€422.31n/a24
Jun ’24€452.00
€547.14
+21.0%
6.6%€605.87€430.63n/a24
May ’24n/a
€533.29
0%
6.9%€589.88€419.27n/a23
Apr ’24n/a
€549.27
0%
6.7%€605.80€430.58n/a23
Mar ’24n/a
€551.48
0%
6.4%€606.71€431.23n/a23
Feb ’24n/a
€544.26
0%
6.3%€598.20€425.18€466.0023
Jan ’24n/a
€552.89
0%
7.8%€611.46€400.74n/a23
Dec ’23n/a
€562.53
0%
7.6%€618.11€408.87€507.0023
Nov ’23n/a
€592.08
0%
7.6%€642.87€431.28n/a23
Oct ’23n/a
€592.74
0%
9.2%€655.26€414.82n/a24
Sep ’23n/a
€562.94
0%
9.1%€620.81€394.88€452.5024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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