Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

LSE:0JQQ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$31.1b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Valuation

Is 0JQQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0JQQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0JQQ ($62.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($99.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0JQQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0JQQ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0JQQ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.3x
PEG Ratio-1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0JQQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0JQQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.6x
AGRO Ros Agro
3.2xn/aUS$1.6b
ABF Associated British Foods
17.1x6.0%UK£20.2b
MPE M.P. Evans Group
10.8x7.8%UK£454.6m
AEP Anglo-Eastern Plantations
7.2xn/aUK£278.2m
0JQQ Archer-Daniels-Midland
10.2x-7.2%US$31.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0JQQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the peer average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0JQQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0JQQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0JQQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0JQQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.2x
Fair PE Ratio15.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0JQQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0JQQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$62.36
US$63.09
+1.2%
6.5%US$74.00US$57.00n/a15
May ’25US$59.00
US$63.77
+8.1%
7.5%US$74.00US$57.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$63.03
US$64.42
+2.2%
9.5%US$75.00US$57.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$54.41
US$67.70
+24.4%
17.9%US$98.50US$55.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$56.66
US$67.70
+19.5%
17.9%US$98.50US$55.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$72.10
US$89.77
+24.5%
14.1%US$116.00US$70.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$75.25
US$91.17
+21.2%
14.7%US$116.00US$70.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$71.64
US$91.17
+27.3%
14.5%US$116.00US$70.00n/a15
Oct ’24US$74.99
US$96.90
+29.2%
12.7%US$117.00US$70.00n/a15
Sep ’24US$79.54
US$96.90
+21.8%
12.7%US$117.00US$70.00n/a15
Aug ’24US$84.47
US$96.97
+14.8%
12.8%US$117.00US$70.00n/a15
Jul ’24US$75.49
US$93.99
+24.5%
14.2%US$117.00US$70.00n/a15
Jun ’24US$70.58
US$93.92
+33.1%
14.8%US$117.00US$70.00n/a14
May ’24US$77.87
US$96.03
+23.3%
13.7%US$117.00US$70.00US$59.0015
Apr ’24US$79.57
US$99.43
+25.0%
12.7%US$117.00US$70.00US$63.0314
Mar ’24US$78.85
US$99.43
+26.1%
12.7%US$117.00US$70.00US$54.4114
Feb ’24US$83.07
US$99.43
+19.7%
12.7%US$117.00US$70.00US$56.6614
Jan ’24US$92.09
US$99.07
+7.6%
12.2%US$117.00US$70.00US$72.1015
Dec ’23US$92.00
US$97.93
+6.4%
12.0%US$117.00US$70.00US$75.2514
Nov ’23US$97.88
US$97.93
+0.05%
12.0%US$117.00US$70.00US$71.6414
Oct ’23US$81.56
US$96.00
+17.7%
13.1%US$117.00US$67.00US$74.9914
Sep ’23US$87.71
US$96.00
+9.5%
13.1%US$117.00US$67.00US$79.5414
Aug ’23US$83.92
US$94.38
+12.5%
12.3%US$111.00US$67.00US$84.4713
Jul ’23US$75.75
US$97.00
+28.1%
11.4%US$111.00US$65.00US$75.4913
Jun ’23US$86.58
US$95.23
+10.0%
14.3%US$111.00US$65.00US$70.5813
May ’23US$90.31
US$93.31
+3.3%
16.4%US$111.00US$65.00US$77.8713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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