Coca-Cola HBC AG

BATS-CHIXE:CCHL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£10.3b

Coca-Cola HBC Valuation

Is CCHL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCHL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCHL (£28.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£45.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCHL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCHL?

Key metric: As CCHL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CCHL. This is calculated by dividing CCHL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CCHL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.6x
Earnings€632.40m
Market Cap€12.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CCHL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CCHL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.6x
BVIC Britvic
25.2x17.4%UK£3.2b
FEVR Fevertree Drinks
36.5x29.2%UK£800.2m
BAG A.G. BARR
19.2x15.6%UK£695.2m
NICL Nichols
25.4x12.9%UK£476.7m
CCHL Coca-Cola HBC
19.6x11.9%UK£10.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CCHL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (26.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCHL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CCHL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCHL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCHL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CCHL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCHL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£28.49
UK£29.55
+3.7%
8.0%UK£32.49UK£24.30n/a14
Nov ’25UK£27.48
UK£28.91
+5.2%
9.4%UK£32.06UK£23.53n/a14
Oct ’25UK£26.34
UK£28.38
+7.8%
9.3%UK£31.94UK£23.08n/a14
Sep ’25UK£28.22
UK£28.44
+0.8%
8.0%UK£31.98UK£23.11n/a14
Aug ’25UK£28.36
UK£28.19
-0.6%
8.5%UK£31.93UK£23.38n/a14
Jul ’25UK£26.95
UK£27.95
+3.7%
8.1%UK£31.82UK£23.26n/a14
Jun ’25UK£26.53
UK£27.90
+5.2%
8.1%UK£30.07UK£23.51n/a14
May ’25UK£26.05
UK£27.90
+7.1%
8.0%UK£30.07UK£23.52n/a14
Apr ’25UK£25.03
UK£27.39
+9.4%
8.1%UK£29.92UK£23.48n/a14
Mar ’25UK£24.61
UK£27.14
+10.3%
8.1%UK£30.02UK£23.50n/a15
Feb ’25UK£23.25
UK£25.80
+11.0%
9.4%UK£29.77UK£22.46n/a15
Jan ’25UK£23.02
UK£25.78
+12.0%
9.9%UK£30.02UK£22.41n/a15
Dec ’24UK£22.07
UK£25.62
+16.1%
11.1%UK£30.82UK£22.37n/a14
Nov ’24UK£21.28
UK£26.10
+22.6%
10.5%UK£31.11UK£22.51UK£27.4814
Oct ’24UK£22.57
UK£27.17
+20.4%
10.0%UK£31.69UK£23.06UK£26.3415
Sep ’24UK£22.57
UK£27.19
+20.5%
9.2%UK£31.25UK£22.89UK£28.2217
Aug ’24UK£22.87
UK£27.52
+20.3%
10.8%UK£31.86UK£20.42UK£28.3616
Jul ’24UK£23.44
UK£26.54
+13.2%
9.9%UK£29.83UK£20.43UK£26.9517
Jun ’24UK£23.60
UK£26.31
+11.5%
10.1%UK£29.69UK£20.33UK£26.5317
May ’24UK£24.16
UK£24.85
+2.9%
11.3%UK£29.96UK£20.74UK£26.0515
Apr ’24UK£22.16
UK£24.26
+9.5%
9.6%UK£27.91UK£20.82UK£25.0314
Mar ’24UK£21.40
UK£24.23
+13.2%
9.7%UK£27.89UK£20.81UK£24.6114
Feb ’24UK£19.74
UK£23.32
+18.1%
8.3%UK£27.11UK£20.87UK£23.2514
Jan ’24UK£19.69
UK£24.39
+23.9%
10.3%UK£29.53UK£20.81UK£23.0213
Dec ’23UK£20.16
UK£23.99
+19.0%
10.2%UK£29.10UK£20.50UK£22.0713
Nov ’23UK£18.87
UK£23.85
+26.4%
9.9%UK£27.50UK£18.99UK£21.2813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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