Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From Chapel Down Group Plc's (LON:CDGP) P/S After Its 27% Share Price Crash

AIM:CDGP
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Chapel Down Group Plc (LON:CDGP) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Chapel Down Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United Kingdom's Beverage industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Chapel Down Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:CDGP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 30th 2024

What Does Chapel Down Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been pleasing for Chapel Down Group as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. Perhaps the market is expecting the company's future revenue growth to buck the trend of the industry, contributing to a higher P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Chapel Down Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Chapel Down Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no revenue growth to show for over the last three years either. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 25% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 2.2%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Chapel Down Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Chapel Down Group's P/S?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Chapel Down Group's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into Chapel Down Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Chapel Down Group.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.