Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Seplat Energy (LON:SEPL) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

LSE:SEPL
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Seplat Energy Plc (LON:SEPL) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Seplat Energy

What Is Seplat Energy's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Seplat Energy had US$721.2m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$335.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$385.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:SEPL Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024

How Strong Is Seplat Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Seplat Energy had liabilities of US$556.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$925.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$335.8m and US$273.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$872.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Seplat Energy is worth US$1.46b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Seplat Energy's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.90 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.1 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Sadly, Seplat Energy's EBIT actually dropped 8.4% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Seplat Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Seplat Energy recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 89% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Seplat Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Seplat Energy's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Seplat Energy , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.