OMV Petrom Valuation

Is PETB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PETB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PETB ($18.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PETB is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PETB?

Key metric: As PETB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PETB. This is calculated by dividing PETB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PETB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsRON 6.60b
Market CapRON 34.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PETB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PETB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
28.2x28.5%UK£60.5b
SHEL Shell
12.8x4.8%UK£157.3b
HBR Harbour Energy
48.4x14.4%UK£3.7b
ENOG Energean
8.5x7.0%UK£1.8b
PETB OMV Petrom
5.2x-5.4%US$34.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PETB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PETB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
0.9xn/aUS$17.76m
No more companies available in this PE range
PETB 5.2xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PETB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PETB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PETB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ratio7.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PETB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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