Genel Energy Valuation

Is GENL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GENL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GENL (£0.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GENL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GENL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GENL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA0.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GENL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GENL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
JSE Jadestone Energy
0.9x23.2%UK£198.5m
ENQ EnQuest
0.2x-16.2%UK£236.8m
INDI Indus Gas
4.5xn/aUK£223.2m
SAVE Savannah Energy
1.7x71.7%UK£344.6m
GENL Genel Energy
1x-8.7%UK£193.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GENL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GENL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-8.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-8.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GENL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GENL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GENL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GENL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GENL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.69
UK£1.06
+53.0%
14.3%UK£1.27UK£0.95n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.73
UK£1.06
+46.0%
14.3%UK£1.27UK£0.95n/a3
Nov ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.37
+67.9%
5.9%UK£1.45UK£1.29n/a2
Oct ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.39
+73.6%
0.6%UK£1.40UK£1.38n/a2
Sep ’24UK£0.83
UK£1.39
+66.7%
0.6%UK£1.40UK£1.38n/a2
Aug ’24UK£1.04
UK£1.36
+31.2%
0.3%UK£1.37UK£1.36n/a2
Jul ’24UK£1.03
UK£1.47
+42.5%
4.6%UK£1.54UK£1.41n/a2
Jun ’24UK£1.12
UK£1.74
+56.2%
22.3%UK£2.29UK£1.40n/a3
May ’24UK£1.11
UK£1.78
+60.3%
17.0%UK£2.30UK£1.55n/a4
Apr ’24UK£1.17
UK£1.84
+57.5%
15.4%UK£2.33UK£1.62n/a4
Mar ’24UK£1.27
UK£1.82
+44.0%
15.0%UK£2.30UK£1.62n/a4
Feb ’24UK£1.30
UK£1.82
+40.7%
15.0%UK£2.30UK£1.62n/a4
Jan ’24UK£1.25
UK£1.90
+52.8%
13.9%UK£2.29UK£1.63n/a4
Dec ’23UK£1.41
UK£1.98
+40.4%
12.0%UK£2.30UK£1.70UK£0.734
Nov ’23UK£1.30
UK£2.01
+55.4%
15.3%UK£2.49UK£1.69UK£0.824
Oct ’23UK£1.24
UK£2.00
+61.5%
11.5%UK£2.30UK£1.71UK£0.804
Sep ’23UK£1.45
UK£2.00
+37.8%
11.5%UK£2.30UK£1.71UK£0.834
Aug ’23UK£1.46
UK£2.06
+41.4%
10.5%UK£2.37UK£1.81UK£1.044
Jul ’23UK£1.34
UK£2.06
+53.6%
10.2%UK£2.30UK£1.84UK£1.034
Jun ’23UK£1.62
UK£2.00
+23.7%
9.9%UK£2.24UK£1.79UK£1.124
May ’23UK£1.85
UK£1.97
+6.4%
12.6%UK£2.31UK£1.61UK£1.115
Apr ’23UK£1.88
UK£2.11
+12.3%
24.2%UK£3.17UK£1.59UK£1.176
Mar ’23UK£1.38
UK£2.02
+46.7%
24.8%UK£3.05UK£1.60UK£1.276
Feb ’23UK£1.50
UK£2.05
+37.2%
23.9%UK£3.06UK£1.60UK£1.306
Jan ’23UK£1.30
UK£2.10
+61.1%
24.5%UK£3.14UK£1.60UK£1.256
Dec ’22UK£1.32
UK£2.12
+61.0%
22.7%UK£3.08UK£1.60UK£1.416

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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