Green Plains Inc.

LSE:0J0P Stock Report

Market Cap: US$606.4m

Green Plains Valuation

Is 0J0P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0J0P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0J0P ($9.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($44.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0J0P is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0J0P?

Key metric: As 0J0P is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0J0P. This is calculated by dividing 0J0P's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0J0P's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$2.59b
Market CapUS$606.43m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0J0P's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0J0P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
DEC Diversified Energy
1.1x12.4%UK£625.8m
SQZ Serica Energy
0.8x4.9%UK£506.8m
SAVE Savannah Energy
2x43.9%UK£344.5m
TLW Tullow Oil
0.2x-6.8%UK£286.4m
0J0P Green Plains
0.2x8.6%US$606.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0J0P is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0J0P's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.3x-1.9%
0J0P Green Plains
 0.2x8.6%US$606.43m
ROSN Rosneft Oil
0.1xn/aUS$21.03b
TLW Tullow Oil
0.2x-6.8%US$360.19m
0J0P 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies12PS01.22.43.64.86+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.3x11.4%
0J0P Green Plains
 0.2x60.0%US$606.43m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0J0P is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0J0P's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0J0P PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0J0P is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0J0P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.35
US$20.69
+121.3%
24.1%US$28.00US$13.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$10.80
US$20.69
+91.6%
24.1%US$28.00US$13.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$11.96
US$22.21
+85.7%
19.5%US$28.00US$15.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$13.23
US$25.50
+92.8%
25.5%US$40.00US$17.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$14.28
US$26.50
+85.6%
28.1%US$40.00US$17.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$17.43
US$29.38
+68.6%
23.1%US$40.00US$18.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$15.44
US$30.11
+95.0%
20.8%US$40.00US$18.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$17.29
US$30.66
+77.3%
17.5%US$40.00US$22.00n/a11
May ’25US$20.08
US$33.84
+68.5%
25.8%US$55.00US$24.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$23.26
US$34.38
+47.8%
25.0%US$55.00US$24.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$21.44
US$34.61
+61.4%
24.7%US$55.00US$24.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$20.43
US$35.60
+74.3%
24.4%US$55.00US$25.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$25.65
US$40.30
+57.1%
18.1%US$55.00US$29.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$25.30
US$40.30
+59.3%
18.1%US$55.00US$29.00US$10.8010
Nov ’24US$29.04
US$40.30
+38.8%
18.1%US$55.00US$29.00US$11.9610
Oct ’24n/a
US$41.70
0%
16.7%US$55.00US$31.00US$13.2310
Sep ’24US$31.08
US$41.70
+34.2%
16.7%US$55.00US$31.00US$14.2810
Aug ’24US$35.81
US$42.80
+19.5%
14.9%US$55.00US$31.00US$17.4310
Jul ’24US$32.31
US$42.80
+32.5%
14.9%US$55.00US$31.00US$15.4410
Jun ’24US$28.65
US$42.80
+49.4%
14.9%US$55.00US$31.00US$17.2910
May ’24US$32.85
US$43.60
+32.7%
14.6%US$55.00US$33.00US$20.0810
Apr ’24US$30.63
US$44.56
+45.4%
13.3%US$55.00US$35.00US$23.269
Mar ’24US$33.60
US$45.00
+33.9%
12.9%US$55.00US$35.00US$21.449
Feb ’24US$34.07
US$44.44
+30.5%
12.6%US$55.00US$35.00US$20.439
Jan ’24US$30.31
US$43.40
+43.2%
14.9%US$55.00US$31.00US$25.6510
Dec ’23US$34.50
US$43.22
+25.3%
15.7%US$55.00US$31.00US$25.309

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Green Plains Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Heather JonesBB&T Capital Markets
Kenneth ZaslowBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Salvator TianoBofA Global Research