OMV Aktiengesellschaft

BATS-CHIXE:OMVV Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.6b

OMV Valuation

Is OMVV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OMVV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OMVV (€38.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€132.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OMVV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OMVV?

Key metric: As OMVV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OMVV. This is calculated by dividing OMVV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OMVV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
Earnings€1.32b
Market Cap€12.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OMVV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OMVV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.2x
28.1x28.5%UK£60.9b
SHEL Shell
12.8x5.0%UK£160.0b
HBR Harbour Energy
48.9x14.4%UK£3.8b
ITH Ithaca Energy
14.9x-8.8%UK£1.9b
9.5x16.8%€12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OMVV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (26.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OMVV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
0.9xn/aUS$17.28m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OMVV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OMVV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OMVV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OMVV's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OMVV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€38.56
€43.37
+12.5%
10.8%€56.40€36.00n/a16
Nov ’25€38.30
€43.79
+14.3%
11.0%€56.40€36.00n/a16
Oct ’25€36.62
€43.97
+20.1%
12.0%€56.40€35.00n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
€45.63
0%
11.6%€56.40€36.00n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
€45.63
0%
11.6%€56.40€36.00n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
€46.29
0%
10.7%€56.40€36.00n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
€46.69
0%
10.0%€56.40€36.00n/a15
May ’25n/a
€45.18
0%
12.7%€56.40€34.10n/a15
Apr ’25€43.44
€43.93
+1.1%
15.7%€56.40€33.00n/a14
Mar ’25n/a
€44.60
0%
15.9%€55.00€33.00n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
€44.86
0%
15.8%€55.00€33.00n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
€46.99
0%
13.6%€55.00€34.10n/a14
Dec ’24n/a
€47.16
0%
13.0%€55.00€34.10n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
€48.40
0%
13.1%€59.00€36.60€38.3015
Oct ’24n/a
€47.87
0%
13.8%€59.00€36.60€36.6215
Sep ’24n/a
€49.32
0%
17.6%€68.00€36.60n/a16
Aug ’24n/a
€49.47
0%
17.1%€68.00€36.60n/a17
Jul ’24€38.84
€50.57
+30.2%
16.8%€68.00€36.60n/a17
Jun ’24€43.30
€52.77
+21.9%
14.4%€68.00€40.54n/a17
May ’24€43.05
€53.01
+23.1%
14.3%€68.00€40.54n/a17
Apr ’24€40.95
€53.76
+31.3%
13.2%€68.00€40.54€43.4417
Mar ’24€47.06
€54.50
+15.8%
14.3%€68.00€40.32n/a17
Feb ’24€45.64
€55.07
+20.7%
14.7%€68.00€41.90n/a18
Jan ’24€49.85
€56.52
+13.4%
13.1%€68.00€42.30n/a18
Dec ’23€48.51
€55.29
+14.0%
14.4%€68.00€42.30n/a19
Nov ’23€45.01
€55.53
+23.4%
14.9%€66.50€42.30n/a19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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