Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Zephyr Energy plc (LON:ZPHR) Forecasts

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AIM:ZPHR

Zephyr Energy plc (LON:ZPHR) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. Consensus estimates suggest investors could expect greatly increased statutory revenues and earnings per share, with the analysts modelling a real improvement in business performance. Zephyr Energy has also found favour with investors, with the stock up a remarkable 14% to UK£0.042 over the past week. It will be interesting to see if today's upgrade is enough to propel the stock even higher.

Following the upgrade, the most recent consensus for Zephyr Energy from its twin analysts is for revenues of US$37m in 2024 which, if met, would be a sizeable 57% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. The losses are expected to disappear over the next year or so, with forecasts for a profit of US$0.0053 per share this year. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$30m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.0047 in 2024. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

View our latest analysis for Zephyr Energy

AIM:ZPHR Earnings and Revenue Growth September 8th 2024

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 7.6% to UK£0.14 per share.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Zephyr Energy'shistorical trends, as the 57% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 69% annual revenue growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue shrink 0.7% annually. So it's clear that not only is revenue growth expected to be maintained, but Zephyr Energy is expected to grow meaningfully faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations and a rising price target, it might be time to take another look at Zephyr Energy.

Analysts are clearly in love with Zephyr Energy at the moment, but before diving in - you should be aware that we've identified some warning flags with the business, such as dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 2 other risks we've identified .

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zephyr Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.