Mosman Oil and Gas Valuation

Is MSMN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSMN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MSMN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MSMN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSMN?

Key metric: As MSMN barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for MSMN. This is calculated by dividing MSMN's market cap by their current book value.
What is MSMN's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	2x
Book	AU$7.04m
Market Cap	AU$14.38m

MSMN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	72x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-27x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does MSMN's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for MSMN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.1x
ORCA Orcadian Energy	2.5x	18.0%	UK£6.9m
TRP Tower Resources	0.2x	n/a	UK£6.6m
GBP Global Petroleum	5.3x	n/a	UK£8.5m
CAD Cadogan Energy Solutions	0.2x	n/a	UK£5.9m
MSMN Mosman Oil and Gas	2x	n/a	UK£7.2m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: MSMN is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does MSMN's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

11 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
INDI Indus Gas	0.05x	n/a	US$18.82m
BOR Borders & Southern Petroleum	0.06x	n/a	US$18.02m
GCM GCM Resources	0.1x	n/a	US$6.69m
BLVN Bowleven	0.04x	n/a	US$6.93m

11 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: MSMN is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (0.7x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSMN's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSMN PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	2x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MSMN's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.