Orcadian Energy Plc

AIM:ORCA Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£5.3m

Orcadian Energy Valuation

Is ORCA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORCA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ORCA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ORCA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORCA?

Key metric: As ORCA is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for ORCA. This is calculated by dividing ORCA's market cap by their current book value.
What is ORCA's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.9x
BookUK£2.76m
Market CapUK£5.33m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does ORCA's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for ORCA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
ZEN Zenith Energy
0.2xn/aUK£5.5m
GBP Global Petroleum
3.3xn/aUK£5.4m
SYN Synergia Energy
1xn/aUK£5.3m
BLOE Block Energy
0.2xn/aUK£4.7m
ORCA Orcadian Energy
1.9x18.0%UK£5.3m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: ORCA is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does ORCA's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INDI Indus Gas
0.05xn/aUS$17.23m
BOR Borders & Southern Petroleum
0.06xn/aUS$16.46m
RBD Reabold Resources
0.1xn/aUS$7.34m
BLVN Bowleven
0.04xn/aUS$6.93m
ORCA 1.9xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies12PB00.61.21.82.43+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: ORCA is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.9x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (0.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORCA's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORCA PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.9x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORCA's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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