Stock Analysis

Harland & Wolff Group Holdings Plc's (LON:HARL) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

AIM:HARL
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It's not a stretch to say that Harland & Wolff Group Holdings Plc's (LON:HARL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United Kingdom, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Harland & Wolff Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:HARL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 4th 2023

What Does Harland & Wolff Group Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Harland & Wolff Group Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Harland & Wolff Group Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Harland & Wolff Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Harland & Wolff Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 114%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to remain buoyant, climbing by 258% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to contract by 10%, which would indicate the company is doing very well.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Harland & Wolff Group Holdings' P/S trades in-line with its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Harland & Wolff Group Holdings' P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We note that even though Harland & Wolff Group Holdings trades at a similar P/S as the rest of the industry, it far eclipses them in terms of forecasted revenue growth. Given the glowing revenue forecasts, we can only assume potential risks are what might be capping the P/S ratio at its current levels. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to keep swimming against the current of the broader industry turmoil. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the company's current prospects should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 6 warning signs with Harland & Wolff Group Holdings (at least 2 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Harland & Wolff Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.