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Is Borders & Southern Petroleum (LON:BOR) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, Borders & Southern Petroleum (LON:BOR) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 393%. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Borders & Southern Petroleum's cash burn is. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
Check out our latest analysis for Borders & Southern Petroleum
How Long Is Borders & Southern Petroleum's Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In December 2021, Borders & Southern Petroleum had US$714k in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was US$1.4m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 6 months from December 2021. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
How Is Borders & Southern Petroleum's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Because Borders & Southern Petroleum isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. As it happens, the company's cash burn reduced by 3.9% over the last year, which suggests that management may be mindful of the risks of their depleting cash reserves. Borders & Southern Petroleum makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.
Can Borders & Southern Petroleum Raise More Cash Easily?
While Borders & Southern Petroleum is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Borders & Southern Petroleum's cash burn of US$1.4m is about 4.0% of its US$36m market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
How Risky Is Borders & Southern Petroleum's Cash Burn Situation?
On this analysis of Borders & Southern Petroleum's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. Summing up, we think the Borders & Southern Petroleum's cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 5 warning signs for Borders & Southern Petroleum (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:BOR
Borders & Southern Petroleum
Operates as an independent oil and gas exploration company in the Falkland Islands.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.