Pollen Street Group Limited

LSE:POLN Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£427.0m

Pollen Street Group Valuation

Is POLN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of POLN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: POLN (£6.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£5.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: POLN is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for POLN?

Key metric: As POLN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for POLN. This is calculated by dividing POLN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is POLN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsUK£46.52m
Market CapUK£426.96m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does POLN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for POLN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.3x
GHE Gresham House
31.5x16.4%UK£444.6m
FSG Foresight Group Holdings
19.4x29.0%UK£513.1m
IPX Impax Asset Management Group
10.7x2.5%UK£433.8m
TAM Tatton Asset Management
27.6x11.9%UK£425.0m
POLN Pollen Street Group
9.2x3.1%UK£427.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: POLN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (-8.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does POLN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CBA CEIBA Investments
2.8xn/aUS$42.52m
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.1xn/aUS$32.25m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.4xn/aUS$5.78m
POLN 9.2xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: POLN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is POLN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

POLN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: POLN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst POLN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£6.90
UK£9.86
+43.0%
8.2%UK£10.90UK£9.00n/a5
Nov ’25UK£6.78
UK£9.86
+45.5%
8.2%UK£10.90UK£9.00n/a5
Oct ’25UK£6.98
UK£9.86
+41.3%
8.2%UK£10.90UK£9.00n/a5
Sep ’25UK£7.00
UK£9.86
+40.8%
8.7%UK£10.90UK£9.00n/a5
Aug ’25UK£7.12
UK£9.86
+38.4%
8.7%UK£10.90UK£9.00n/a5
Jul ’25UK£7.30
UK£9.90
+35.7%
9.2%UK£11.12UK£9.00n/a5
Jun ’25UK£6.76
UK£9.90
+46.5%
9.2%UK£11.12UK£9.00n/a5
May ’25UK£6.70
UK£9.50
+41.9%
14.4%UK£11.12UK£7.40n/a5
Apr ’25UK£6.66
UK£9.50
+42.7%
14.4%UK£11.12UK£7.40n/a5
Mar ’25UK£5.54
UK£9.73
+75.6%
13.9%UK£10.90UK£7.40n/a5
Feb ’25UK£5.94
UK£9.73
+63.7%
13.9%UK£10.90UK£7.40n/a5
Jan ’25UK£6.29
UK£9.73
+54.6%
13.9%UK£10.90UK£7.40n/a5
Dec ’24UK£5.78
UK£9.73
+68.3%
13.9%UK£10.90UK£7.40n/a5
Nov ’24UK£5.96
UK£9.73
+63.2%
13.9%UK£10.90UK£7.40UK£6.785
Oct ’24UK£5.95
UK£9.73
+63.5%
13.9%UK£10.90UK£7.40UK£6.985
Sep ’24UK£6.08
UK£9.83
+61.6%
14.7%UK£11.40UK£7.40UK£7.005
Aug ’24UK£6.20
UK£10.43
+68.3%
8.4%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£7.124
Jul ’24UK£5.94
UK£10.37
+74.5%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£7.303
Jun ’24UK£6.93
UK£10.37
+49.6%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£6.763
May ’24UK£6.46
UK£10.37
+60.5%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£6.703
Apr ’24UK£5.60
UK£10.37
+85.1%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£6.663
Mar ’24UK£5.60
UK£10.37
+85.1%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£5.543
Feb ’24UK£5.56
UK£10.37
+86.5%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£5.943
Jan ’24UK£5.12
UK£10.37
+102.5%
9.7%UK£11.40UK£9.00UK£6.293
Dec ’23UK£6.50
UK£11.05
+70.0%
3.2%UK£11.40UK£10.70UK£5.782
Nov ’23UK£7.10
UK£11.05
+55.6%
3.2%UK£11.40UK£10.70UK£5.962

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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