Stock Analysis

Ninety One Group (LON:N91) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.064

LSE:N91
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Ninety One Group (LON:N91) will pay a dividend of £0.064 on the 8th of August. The dividend yield of 7.1% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Ninety One Group

Ninety One Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Ninety One Group was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 2.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 75% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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LSE:N91 Historic Dividend June 22nd 2024

Ninety One Group Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 4 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. Since 2020, the annual payment back then was £0.118, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.123. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.0% a year over that time. Modest dividend growth is good to see, especially with the payments being relatively stable. However, the payment history is relatively short and we wouldn't want to rely on this dividend too much.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Earnings has been rising at 3.8% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 3.8% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. While this isn't necessarily a negative, it definitely signals that dividend growth could be constrained in the future unless earnings start to pick up again.

In Summary

Even though the dividend was cut this year, we think Ninety One Group has the ability to make consistent payments in the future. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Ninety One Group that investors should take into consideration. Is Ninety One Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.