Funding Circle Holdings plc

LSE:FCH Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£428.9m

Funding Circle Holdings Valuation

Is FCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FCH's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FCH's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCH?

Key metric: As FCH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FCH. This is calculated by dividing FCH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FCH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.3x
SalesUK£187.60m
Market CapUK£428.90m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FCH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
IPF International Personal Finance
0.4x5.3%UK£291.0m
SUS S&U
2.4x20.5%UK£160.4m
VANQ Vanquis Banking Group
0.3x13.5%UK£101.0m
HAT H&T Group
0.6x7.9%UK£150.0m
FCH Funding Circle Holdings
2.3x9.0%UK£428.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FCH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FCH 2.3xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies6PS01.63.24.86.48+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.32
UK£1.63
+24.2%
7.6%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a3
Nov ’25UK£1.34
UK£1.63
+22.3%
7.6%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a3
Oct ’25UK£1.38
UK£1.63
+18.8%
7.6%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a3
Sep ’25UK£1.06
UK£1.25
+18.5%
29.8%UK£1.70UK£0.70n/a4
Aug ’25UK£1.10
UK£1.35
+22.7%
37.7%UK£2.10UK£0.70n/a4
Jul ’25UK£1.03
UK£1.35
+31.1%
37.7%UK£2.10UK£0.70n/a4
Jun ’25UK£0.93
UK£1.31
+41.4%
57.9%UK£2.50UK£0.60n/a4
May ’25UK£0.66
UK£1.27
+90.8%
68.9%UK£2.50UK£0.60n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.43
UK£1.25
+187.4%
60.5%UK£2.50UK£0.60n/a4
Mar ’25UK£0.28
UK£1.27
+356.8%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a5
Feb ’25UK£0.30
UK£1.19
+297.2%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a6
Jan ’25UK£0.40
UK£1.19
+197.9%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a6
Dec ’24UK£0.39
UK£1.19
+205.6%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a6
Nov ’24UK£0.34
UK£1.19
+250.5%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70UK£1.346
Oct ’24UK£0.39
UK£1.19
+207.1%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70UK£1.386
Sep ’24UK£0.41
UK£1.15
+176.8%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£1.067
Aug ’24UK£0.48
UK£1.15
+139.3%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£1.107
Jul ’24UK£0.56
UK£1.15
+104.4%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£1.037
Jun ’24UK£0.54
UK£1.15
+111.1%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£0.937
May ’24UK£0.55
UK£1.15
+108.8%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£0.667
Apr ’24UK£0.54
UK£1.14
+112.4%
55.8%UK£2.50UK£0.66UK£0.436
Mar ’24UK£0.60
UK£1.38
+130.0%
64.8%UK£3.30UK£0.66UK£0.286
Feb ’24UK£0.62
UK£1.38
+122.6%
64.8%UK£3.30UK£0.66UK£0.306
Jan ’24UK£0.55
UK£1.47
+166.7%
71.7%UK£3.75UK£0.66UK£0.406
Dec ’23UK£0.55
UK£1.47
+167.2%
71.7%UK£3.75UK£0.66UK£0.396
Nov ’23UK£0.45
UK£1.47
+225.6%
71.7%UK£3.75UK£0.66UK£0.346

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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