Main Street Capital Corporation

LSE:0JXQ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

Main Street Capital Valuation

Is 0JXQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0JXQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0JXQ ($56.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($62.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0JXQ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0JXQ?

Key metric: As 0JXQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0JXQ. This is calculated by dividing 0JXQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0JXQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsUS$472.93m
Market CapUS$4.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0JXQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0JXQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.3x
BPT Bridgepoint Group
45.3x33.0%UK£3.0b
HL. Hargreaves Lansdown
17.7x1.8%UK£5.2b
QLT Quilter
41x34.4%UK£2.1b
SDR Schroders
13.1x13.2%UK£4.9b
0JXQ Main Street Capital
10.5x-21.7%US$4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0JXQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (29.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0JXQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.3xn/aUS$36.40m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.5xn/aUS$6.42m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
2.4xn/aUS$5.95m
No more companies available in this PE range
0JXQ 10.5xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0JXQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0JXQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0JXQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0JXQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0JXQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$56.59
US$49.60
-12.4%
5.5%US$52.00US$45.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$55.47
US$49.60
-10.6%
5.5%US$52.00US$45.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$50.81
US$48.80
-4.0%
6.3%US$52.00US$44.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$50.06
US$48.80
-2.5%
6.3%US$52.00US$44.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$49.27
US$48.80
-1.0%
6.3%US$52.00US$44.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$51.22
US$48.80
-4.7%
6.8%US$52.00US$43.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$50.46
US$48.67
-3.5%
7.2%US$52.00US$43.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$48.64
US$48.67
+0.05%
7.2%US$52.00US$43.00n/a6
May ’25US$50.14
US$46.33
-7.6%
6.1%US$52.00US$43.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$47.32
US$45.20
-4.5%
2.9%US$47.00US$43.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$45.23
US$45.67
+1.0%
3.5%US$48.00US$43.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$44.82
US$44.50
-0.7%
5.5%US$48.00US$41.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$43.38
US$44.17
+1.8%
4.6%US$47.00US$41.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$41.62
US$44.17
+6.1%
4.6%US$47.00US$41.00US$55.476
Nov ’24US$39.24
US$44.00
+12.1%
4.9%US$47.00US$41.00US$50.816
Oct ’24US$40.59
US$44.00
+8.4%
4.9%US$47.00US$41.00US$50.066
Sep ’24US$40.67
US$44.00
+8.2%
4.9%US$47.00US$41.00US$49.276
Aug ’24US$42.24
US$43.67
+3.4%
4.9%US$46.00US$41.00US$51.226
Jul ’24US$40.13
US$43.67
+8.8%
4.9%US$46.00US$41.00US$50.466
Jun ’24US$39.90
US$43.33
+8.6%
4.7%US$46.00US$41.00US$48.646
May ’24US$40.53
US$43.17
+6.5%
4.3%US$46.00US$41.00US$50.146
Apr ’24US$39.30
US$43.17
+9.8%
4.3%US$46.00US$41.00US$47.326
Mar ’24US$42.03
US$43.17
+2.7%
4.3%US$46.00US$41.00US$45.236
Feb ’24US$39.44
US$41.17
+4.4%
5.7%US$46.00US$39.00US$44.826
Jan ’24US$36.88
US$41.17
+11.6%
5.7%US$46.00US$39.00US$43.386
Dec ’23US$38.31
US$41.25
+7.7%
6.7%US$46.00US$39.00US$41.624

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 14:37
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Main Street Capital Corporation is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bryce RoweBaird
Bryce RoweB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Christopher Whitbread NolanFBR Capital Markets & Co.