Bank of New York Mellon Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Bank of New York Mellon is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.7% and 3.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.9% in 3 years.

Key information

10.7%

Earnings growth rate

14.4%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	18.8%
Revenue growth rate	3.5%
Future return on equity	11.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:0HLQ - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	19,513	4,861	N/A	N/A	10
12/31/2025	18,902	4,634	N/A	N/A	12
12/31/2024	18,384	4,304	N/A	N/A	11
9/30/2024	17,801	3,352	-4,256	-2,931	N/A
6/30/2024	17,593	3,200	1,135	2,421	N/A
3/31/2024	17,495	3,093	182	1,440	N/A
12/31/2023	17,383	3,051	4,692	5,912	N/A
9/30/2023	17,202	3,414	9,596	10,904	N/A
6/30/2023	17,094	2,775	8,499	9,589	N/A
3/31/2023	16,802	2,574	12,095	13,431	N/A
12/31/2022	16,338	2,362	13,722	15,068	N/A
9/30/2022	16,472	2,675	13,910	15,273	N/A
6/30/2022	16,243	3,237	9,981	11,602	N/A
3/31/2022	16,082	3,392	8,175	9,441	N/A
12/31/2021	16,162	3,550	1,623	2,838	N/A
9/30/2021	15,958	3,429	-2,263	-1,156	N/A
6/30/2021	15,716	3,423	-1,496	-432	N/A
3/31/2021	15,537	3,333	2,371	3,549	N/A
12/31/2020	15,472	3,417	3,816	5,038	N/A
9/30/2020	16,430	4,101	2,378	3,432	N/A
6/30/2020	16,469	4,225	6,619	7,735	N/A
3/31/2020	16,534	4,290	-1,850	-640	N/A
12/31/2019	16,487	4,254	-1,114	96	N/A
9/30/2019	15,708	3,696	4,350	5,751	N/A
6/30/2019	15,903	3,765	594	1,914	N/A
3/31/2019	16,112	3,848	4,700	5,899	N/A
12/31/2018	16,403	4,070	4,888	5,996	N/A
9/30/2018	16,130	4,361	3,020	4,103	N/A
6/30/2018	16,080	4,268	N/A	8,071	N/A
3/31/2018	15,902	4,133	N/A	5,039	N/A
12/31/2017	15,567	3,872	N/A	4,667	N/A
9/30/2017	15,616	3,563	N/A	8,065	N/A
6/30/2017	15,554	3,547	N/A	2,948	N/A
3/31/2017	15,376	3,446	N/A	3,228	N/A
12/31/2016	15,248	3,373	N/A	6,267	N/A
9/30/2016	15,028	3,192	N/A	1,699	N/A
6/30/2016	14,857	3,047	N/A	2,955	N/A
3/31/2016	14,964	3,052	N/A	5,992	N/A
12/31/2015	15,034	3,010	N/A	4,127	N/A
9/30/2015	15,159	2,591	N/A	5,171	N/A
6/30/2015	16,000	2,827	N/A	4,733	N/A
3/31/2015	15,865	2,554	N/A	5,468	N/A
12/31/2014	15,740	2,451	N/A	4,484	N/A
9/30/2014	15,657	2,745	N/A	2,711	N/A
6/30/2014	14,808	2,640	N/A	2,702	N/A
3/31/2014	15,095	2,912	N/A	1,047	N/A
12/31/2013	15,083	2,002	N/A	-642	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 0HLQ's forecast earnings growth (10.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: 0HLQ's earnings (10.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 0HLQ's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 0HLQ's revenue (3.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 0HLQ's revenue (3.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 0HLQ's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/20 08:50
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation is covered by 42 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Stephen Biggar	Argus Research Company
Ishan Majumdar	Baptista Research
Jason Goldberg	Barclays

Bank of New York Mellon Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

the Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Provides Outlook for 2022

the Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Provides Outlook for 2022

BNY Mellon Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Recent updates

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Appoints Madiha Sattar as Managing Director and Growth Ventures Partner

the Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Announces Executive Changes

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jan 15, 2025

Now 21% undervalued

New minor risk - Insider selling

Senior EVP & General Counsel recently sold US$1.9m worth of stock

Third quarter dividend of US$0.47 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.51 (vs US$1.23 in 3Q 2023)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend, Payable on November 1, 2024

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BK) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Archer IMS, LLC.

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 11, 2024

Second quarter dividend increased to US$0.47

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.53 (vs US$1.31 in 2Q 2023)

BNY Announces Executive Changes, Effective September 3, 2024

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Announces Intention to Increase Quarterly Common Stock Dividend Effective from October 1, 2024, to September 30, 2025

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Appoints Leigh-Ann Russell as Chief Information Officer and Global Head of Engineering, Effective September 15, 2024

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Announces the Launch of Customized Tax Solutions and the Expansion of its Direct Indexing Suite, BNY Mellon Precision Direct Indexingsm

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 12, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.26 (vs US$1.13 in 1Q 2023)

Computershare Trust Company of Canada agreed to acquire BNY Trust Company of Canada from The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BK).

Insider recently sold US$3.0m worth of stock

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BK) announces an Equity Buyback for $6,000 million worth of its shares.

First quarter dividend of US$0.42 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.26 (vs US$1.13 in 1Q 2023)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend, Payable on May 9, 2024

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Announces Appointment of Shannon Hobbs as Chief People Officer, Effective from June 3

John Chevedden Files a Notice of Exempt Solicitation to The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$3.89 (vs US$2.91 in FY 2022)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Apr 09, 2024

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Unveils New Basket Construction Platform for ETF Services

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 16, 2024

BNY Mellon Announces Launch of Virtual Account Based Solutions

Insider recently sold US$1.7m worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$4.01 (vs US$2.91 in FY 2022)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on February 2, 2024

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 12, 2024

Bny Mellon Launches Universal FX

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.23 (vs US$0.39 in 3Q 2022)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares A Quarterly Common Stock Dividend, Payable on November 9, 2023

BNY Mellon's Pershing Debuts Bondwise, an Innovative Fixed Income Research and Trading Tool

Bny Mellon Launches Bankify

BNY Mellon Markets Appoints Eoin Ellis as Head of EMEA Liquidity Sales

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 17, 2023

General Counsel recently sold US$1.6m worth of stock

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares a Quarterly Common Stock Dividend, Payable on August 10, 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.31 (vs US$1.03 in 2Q 2022)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Announces the Resignation of Frederick O. Terrell from Board of Directors

BNY Mellon Appoints Francis Giglio as Hong Kong Chief Executive

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 18, 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.13 (vs US$0.86 in 1Q 2022)

High number of new directors

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BK) announces an Equity Buyback for $5,000 million worth of its shares.

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$2.91 (vs US$4.17 in FY 2021)

High number of new directors

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Jan 13, 2023

Benefit Street Partners L.L.C. completed the acquisition of BNY Alcentra Group Holdings, Inc. from The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BK).

Bny Mellon Launches New Payment Platform Vaia for Payee-Choice Disbursements

Senior EVP & General Counsel recently sold US$787k worth of stock

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares Dividend on Common Shares, Payable on November 10, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.39 (vs US$1.04 in 3Q 2021)

BNY Mellon Appoints Geoff Hodge as Country Executive for Australia

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 17, 2022

CEO & Director recently sold US$10m worth of stock

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Appoints Robin Vince as Member of the Board, Effective August 31, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.03 (vs US$1.14 in 2Q 2021)

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Declares Dividend, Payable on August 5, 2022

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Announces CFO Changes

BNY Mellon Announces Intention to Increase Quarterly Common Stock Dividend

Benefit Street Partners L.L.C. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire BNY Alcentra Group Holdings, Inc from The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BK) for $700 million.

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Jul 15, 2022

Chief Operations & Technology Officer recently sold US$1.9m worth of stock